MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread
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  MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread
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Poll
Question: Rate this race
#1
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#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup
 
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Lean R
 
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Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Total Voters: 284

Author Topic: MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread  (Read 132245 times)
jamestroll
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« Reply #1050 on: October 16, 2018, 07:56:49 PM »

Just FYI... for St. Louis County, MO which Claire may need to win nearly 2 to 1 to win statewide that there is a correlation between how trumpy an area is and how many bunnies you see in the wild. The more  bunnies there are the more trumpy it is.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1051 on: October 16, 2018, 07:58:12 PM »

Just FYI... for St. Louis County, MO which Claire may need to win nearly 2 to 1 to win statewide that there is a correlation between how trumpy an area is and how many bunnies you see in the wild. The more  bunnies there are the more trumpy it is.
K.....
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1052 on: October 16, 2018, 08:00:13 PM »

Just FYI... for St. Louis County, MO which Claire may need to win nearly 2 to 1 to win statewide that there is a correlation between how trumpy an area is and how many bunnies you see in the wild. The more  bunnies there are the more trumpy it is.

Didnt know the Boston Suburbs were hardcore Trumpers.....
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Rhenna
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« Reply #1053 on: October 18, 2018, 07:37:04 PM »

This debate is painful to watch. I support McCaskill, but Hawley is doing a pretty good job.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #1054 on: October 18, 2018, 08:08:26 PM »

If Hawley is pulling ahead- I think its unfortunate... McCaskill strikes me as worlds ahead of Hawley regarding what the Senate needs and who would ultimately be the best for Missouri overall... (And I've just always liked McCaskill for her political savvy).
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #1055 on: October 18, 2018, 08:22:08 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2018, 08:44:00 PM by SCNCmod »

In looking at the Ads from MO... McCaskill has a great overall ad campaign- But the Hawley Ad about pre-existing conditions (posted Below) (Granted its a completely dishonest Ad, given that his healthcare positions do not ensure pre-existing protection)... but dishonesty aside, it seems like a very effective ad for winning over some undecided voters who were unsure about Hawley (makes him "seem" likeable and more moderate).

Dishonest yet effective since... many probably will not know its false (since most voters, especially undecided, tend to follow politics much less closely than politicos)....

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JG
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« Reply #1056 on: October 18, 2018, 10:02:14 PM »

If Hawley is pulling ahead- I think its unfortunate... McCaskill strikes me as worlds ahead of Hawley regarding what the Senate needs and who would ultimately be the best for Missouri overall... (And I've just always liked McCaskill for her political savvy).
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #1057 on: October 20, 2018, 06:49:18 PM »

Galloway will pull McCaskill over the finish line.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1058 on: October 20, 2018, 07:00:25 PM »

I don’t give a crap about a missouri state auditor, worst consolation prize ever if McCaskill loses.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #1059 on: October 20, 2018, 07:22:28 PM »

I don’t give a crap about a missouri state auditor, worst consolation prize ever if McCaskill loses.

Well it is the position that would watch the entire government which is all ran by the GOP. There is a reason it is elected off years. If I had it my way I would also elect the attorney general in midterms.

Just FYI... for St. Louis County, MO which Claire may need to win nearly 2 to 1 to win statewide that there is a correlation between how trumpy an area is and how many bunnies you see in the wild. The more  bunnies there are the more trumpy it is.

Also there have been numerous McCaskill signs in those areas with tons of bunnies in St. Louis county. May be a bad sign for Wagner and also proves my suburban  theory.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1060 on: October 20, 2018, 08:15:51 PM »

Missouri is a much more polarized state than back in 2002.
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henster
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« Reply #1061 on: October 20, 2018, 09:24:59 PM »

Galloway for Governor?
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Solid4096
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« Reply #1062 on: October 20, 2018, 09:31:12 PM »

Apparently, there is a ballot measure on the ballot this year, that if passed, would almost guarantee that the winner of this years state auditor election gets a congressional map that they like for the next redistricting cycle.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #1063 on: October 20, 2018, 09:31:22 PM »

Lower-ballot less visible candidates do not pull top of the ballot candidates over the line LMAO
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jamestroll
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« Reply #1064 on: October 20, 2018, 09:35:49 PM »


She is all we have.. so why not?

Apparently, there is a ballot measure on the ballot this year, that if passed, would almost guarantee that the winner of this years state auditor election gets a congressional map that they like for the next redistricting cycle.

The auditor would pick the state demographer. Their role in redistricting is way over stated in Clean Missouri. I will vote yes on it but it technically does not qualify to be on the ballot.


I can not believe we will see clean missouri, 12 dollar minimum wage, and medical weed pass yet an incumbent Democratic Senator could well lose in a Democratic wave.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1065 on: October 20, 2018, 09:58:32 PM »


I hope she only goes for it if Parson is polling badly. It’s probably unwinnable unless he is. Either her or find some rich Fred Hubbell-type self funded dude who is moderate to conservative on social issues

She’d be a decent Senate candidate in 2022 if Trump is in his second term.

Well, Reynolds isn’t exactly unpopular and still in big trouble if the polls are to be trusted.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1066 on: October 20, 2018, 10:14:07 PM »

lol if Galloway runs for Governor... yikes.

She is not exactly super dynamic on the stump.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1067 on: October 20, 2018, 10:18:17 PM »


Consider how many Trump-Kander voters there were just two years ago.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #1068 on: October 20, 2018, 10:32:17 PM »

I know people are laughing at my rabbit observation in St
 Louis County but I have evidence to back it up.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #1069 on: October 20, 2018, 10:36:19 PM »

lol if Galloway runs for Governor... yikes.

She is not exactly super dynamic on the stump.

To be fair, neither are/were Parson, Nixon, Blunt and Holden

She is really all we would have and by 2020 people will know who she is.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1070 on: October 20, 2018, 10:37:29 PM »

Are you kidding me? Nixon is very dynamic on the stump. Parson also has his charms, and is extremely personable in person, as is Holden. Galloway? Not so much.

Take this from someone who has met all of them and seen all of them speak.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1071 on: October 20, 2018, 10:43:13 PM »

Still, Galloway can only deliver one speech, and she does so in a rather stilted manner. If she wins this year it will mostly be because the GOP accidentally nominated a total dud candidate and very little to do with her own candidacy or campaign.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1072 on: October 21, 2018, 10:20:02 AM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #1073 on: October 21, 2018, 01:36:59 PM »

I can not believe we will see clean missouri, 12 dollar minimum wage, and medical weed pass yet an incumbent Democratic Senator could well lose in a Democratic wave.

Don't forget right to work getting overwhelmingly rejected!

It's almost as if Republicans vote based on identity politics, white resentment, etc. rather than Randian economic philosophy, union busting, or prohibition.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #1074 on: October 22, 2018, 11:04:18 AM »

What do new voter registration number in Missouri indicate? (do they favor Dems. Repubs, about even , etc)?
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