Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Iowa
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Poll
Question: Rate Iowa and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 153

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Iowa  (Read 3526 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: August 02, 2016, 06:53:54 AM »
« edited: August 02, 2016, 06:58:40 AM by ElectionsGuy »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 92
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 29
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 14
Safe Trump: 19

Clinton: 101
Trump: 60
Toss-Up: 29

Predictions



Clinton: 130
Trump: 60

Iowa: Lean D, 51-46 Clinton.
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2016, 07:26:43 AM »
Tossup. Clinton's ground game is the difference and she wins 50-48
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Redban
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2016, 07:33:06 AM »
Of all the swing states, IOWA might be the only one that is legitimately looking good for Trump, based on the polls. Lean R.
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Wells
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2016, 07:41:32 AM »
Lean D. Clinton wins 49-45.
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LLR
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2016, 07:50:22 AM »
Lean D

Clinton 47%
Trump 41%
Johnson 11%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2016, 08:28:31 AM »
Going with Lean D, but it was close with Toss Up. 52-45-3 (Clinton-Trump-Other)
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heatcharger
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« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2016, 08:35:16 AM »
Was gonna go with tossup, but Trump's complete lack of campaign infrastructure will cost him. Lean D.

Clinton 51
Trump 46
Johnson 3
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2016, 09:09:23 AM »
Toss-up. Probably the best swing state for Trump with less than 10 EVs. Nevertheless, I think she’ll win.

✓ Clinton: 51.7%
Trump: 46.5%
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2016, 09:11:24 AM »
Tossup Clinton 52-47-1
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2016, 11:09:52 AM »
It's probably somewhere between Toss-up and Lean D, but with the way things have been going, I'll say Lean D. Hillary wins 51-47.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2016, 11:11:38 AM »
Likely D

Clinton 54
Trump 44
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2016, 11:47:02 AM »
Tossup.

Clinton: 47
Trump: 45
Johnson: 3
Others: 2
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2016, 11:50:06 AM »
Lean D, but it's whiteness is concerning.
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2016, 11:52:25 AM »
« Edited: September 24, 2016, 05:03:55 PM by Spark498 »
Toss-up.

Trump 48
Clinton 50
Johnson 2
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: August 02, 2016, 12:15:30 PM »
About D+1 (Iowa was the tipping-point state in 2008).
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: August 02, 2016, 12:50:18 PM »
Toss up.

Hillary: 50%
Trump: 46%
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2016, 03:38:17 PM »
If the election was a tossup, Iowa would be one too, but it's not.  Lean D.
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tinman64
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« Reply #17 on: August 02, 2016, 03:41:59 PM »
Tossup.

Clinton 50
Trump 47
Others 3
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #18 on: August 02, 2016, 04:07:33 PM »
Clinton 49
Trump 48
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #19 on: August 02, 2016, 04:24:46 PM »
Lean D. Iowa, being one of the smallest swing states, would need good local organization that Clinton has clearly demonstrated that she has. I don't see Trump winning Iowa unless he wins the election outright.
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windjammer
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« Reply #20 on: August 02, 2016, 04:25:17 PM »
Lean dem
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: August 02, 2016, 04:42:17 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on August 02, 2016, 07:26:43 AM
Tossup. Clinton's ground game is the difference and she wins 50-48
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: August 02, 2016, 04:42:18 PM »
I'm glad the turnout is really good in these polls but I'm still wondering why so many people are missing the bottom portion. Should I put (R) and (D) labels after Trump and Clinton, should I put first names there? I'm not sure what else I can do.
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cMac36
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« Reply #23 on: August 02, 2016, 04:48:46 PM »
Trump would have to get within 4 points in national vote to have a chance at Iowa.  Likely D
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OwlRhetoric
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« Reply #24 on: August 02, 2016, 05:12:00 PM »
True tossup. The third parties might actually tip the balance here one way or another.
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