CT Senate predictions
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Poll
Question: Who wins the Democratic primary? / Will Joe be on the Nov. ballot? / Who wins in Nov. ?
#1
Lamont / No / Lamont
 
#2
Lamont / No / GOP
 
#3
Lamont / Yes / Lamont
 
#4
Lamont / Yes / GOP
 
#5
Lamont / Yes / Lieberman
 
#6
Lieberman / Yes / Lieberman
 
#7
Lieberman / Yes / GOP
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: CT Senate predictions  (Read 10293 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #50 on: June 19, 2006, 05:38:56 PM »

I'm thinking if lieberman did end up running as an independent, he would still caucus with the dems so it wouldn't change much of anything.  i know a lot of people make him out to be a very conservative democrat and not loyal to the party, but the truth is he votes democrat on a vast majority of bills, and doeesn't cozy up to republicans much at all.  only on occassion does he break with the party. 

Yeah but he also goes on Sean Hannity's show and compares anti-war activists to terrorists.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #51 on: June 19, 2006, 05:49:46 PM »

Yeah but he also goes on Sean Hannity's show and compares anti-war activists to terrorists.

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #52 on: June 19, 2006, 06:01:36 PM »

Yeah but he also goes on Sean Hannity's show and compares anti-war activists to terrorists.

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Coo-coo. Coo-coo.
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BRTD
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« Reply #53 on: June 19, 2006, 07:51:02 PM »

I want someone to explain why Lamont's chances are much less than Toomey's.

Toomey probably would've won had it not have been for the electability issue, the fear that he would lose the general. That's not an issue here since there's no way the Republicans can win this seat.

I think it is very fair to say that if it is Lamont vs. Generic Republican that Lamont would probably win the race and definitely would stand a much better chance than Toomey.  Considering the Republican candidate is a nothing, Lamont's chance of winning one-on-one is high.

However, the big difference here is the simple likelihood that Lieberman runs as an Indy in the general election if he loses the primary.  In that scenario, Lamont will find it extremely difficult, if not impossible to win.

That's the reason why the smartest Democratic member of the Senate, Chuck Schumer, is saying that he would support Lieberman were he to run as an Indy.  He knows that Lieberman would win in that case and wants Lieberman to stay in the Democratic caucus past 2006 elections.

That I pretty much all agree with. I was referring to the people saying Lamont has no chance in the pimary. Considering some of these are ex-Toomey supporters, I found it a little ironic.
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nini2287
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« Reply #54 on: June 29, 2006, 09:02:10 AM »


If you guys had been paying attention, I was out of the country and obviously hadn't seen the polls.  I still think Lamont will fall into the Paul Hackett/Francine Busby category, he'll come close but lose something like 52-48.  I wonder how many more of these people in unwinnable races there will be before the moveon donations stop coming in.  (if Lamont loses)
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #55 on: June 29, 2006, 05:03:23 PM »

Lamont / Yes / Lieberman
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