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Author Topic: Governors' statewide popularity  (Read 11615 times)
Yelnoc
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« Reply #75 on: July 20, 2011, 09:03:54 am »
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You're still flipping blue and red.
No he's not, that's just this website's color scheme.  Click on the "Election Results" tab at the very top menubar.
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coyolxauhqui
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« Reply #76 on: July 20, 2011, 09:25:42 am »
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No, I meant (like I said before) that he flipped blue and red here:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state blue. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state red. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #77 on: July 20, 2011, 08:12:04 pm »
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No, I meant (like I said before) that he flipped blue and red here:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state blue. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state red. A tie for either -- it's yellow. 



Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Chris Christie’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 43%
Disapprove...................................................... 53%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jon Corzine?
Favorable........................................................ 39%
Unfavorable .................................................... 47%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%

Q3 If you could do the 2009 election for Governor
over again, would you vote for Republican
Chris Christie or Democrat Jon Corzine?
Chris Christie .................................................. 48%
Jon Corzine..................................................... 48%
Not sure .......................................................... 5%

Abrasive personalities disappoint the electorate when things go badly.



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                    7
Obama advantage                                         314
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 81
Modest 21
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 44
Huge 260



Fixed! Thank you.
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« Reply #78 on: July 21, 2011, 11:59:16 am »
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Can't find the exact poll location, but here's a poll on Governor Sandoval's job approval from the Tarrence Group:

Quote
A survey of voters, conducted by the Tarrance Group, this month, shows that 53% of Nevada voters approve of the job Sandoval is doing.

That's compared with only 29% that disapprove of his performance.

...

The Tarrance Group interviewed 501 people - 43% being Democrat, 36% Republican, and the rest Independent.


http://www.ktvn.com/story/15115828/poll-governor-sandovals-approval-rating-soars
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« Reply #79 on: July 22, 2011, 12:45:36 am »
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Quote
July 20, 2011 - Ohio Gov's Low Approval Slips Further, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For Photo Id To Vote Almost 4-1

Ohio Gov. John Kasich is sinking slowly into the quicksand of voter disapproval, with a 50 - 35 percent thumbs down on job approval, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is down from a 49 - 38 percent job disapproval May 18.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1625

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                    7
Obama advantage                                         314
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 81
Modest 21
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 44
Huge 260



Fixed! Thank you.

[/quote]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #80 on: July 22, 2011, 04:20:16 pm »
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Utah, PPP, Governor. The great mystery of the ages is resolved!

Quote
Utah Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Gary Herbert’s job performance?

Approve................. 51%
Disapprove............ 32%
Not sure ................ 17%


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_UT_0722.pdf

Uh, no.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                    7
Obama advantage                                         314
GOP advantage                                             144      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 21
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 44
Huge 260




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« Reply #81 on: July 29, 2011, 09:35:30 am »
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MN: Mark Dayton (D)

Gov. Mark Dayton has come out of the state government shutdown with Minnesotans evenly split on his job performance.

40 percent approve of his work, 40 percent disapprove and 20 percent have no opinion, according to a poll done for MinnPost.com by Daves & Associates Research.

http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2011/07/29/30417/minnpost_poll_minnesotans_evenly_split_on_daytons_job_performance
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #82 on: July 29, 2011, 11:38:53 am »
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Quote
Virginia Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bob
McDonnell’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 50%
Disapprove...................................................... 31%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Governor McDonnell is either acting as a moderate or leaving the dirty work to others. Nothing has changed. Virginia is NOT a right-wing state anymore:

Quote
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Eric Cantor?

Favorable........................................................ 29%
Unfavorable .................................................... 31%
Not sure .......................................................... 39%

This is very poor for someone who wields much power in Congress John Boehner has much the same problem in Ohio.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_7291118.pdf


MN: Mark Dayton (D)

Gov. Mark Dayton has come out of the state government shutdown with Minnesotans evenly split on his job performance.

40 percent approve of his work, 40 percent disapprove and 20 percent have no opinion, according to a poll done for MinnPost.com by Daves & Associates Research.

http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2011/07/29/30417/minnpost_poll_minnesotans_evenly_split_on_daytons_job_performance

Budgetary squabbles in rough times are not good for gubernatorial popularity.
Quote
Michigan Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Snyder’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 38%
Disapprove...................................................... 50%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_728.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         304
GOP advantage                                             144      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 21
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 44
Huge 250





« Last Edit: July 29, 2011, 01:47:39 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #83 on: July 29, 2011, 11:47:31 am »
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Governor McDonnell is either acting as a moderate or leaving the dirty work to others. Nothing has changed. Virginia is NOT a right-wing state anymore:

Sure it is.  Just because it's not as Republican as it used to be does not mean it isn't a conservative state. The only Democrats who have had any success there have had to be -- or at least pose as -- moderates.
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Odysseus
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« Reply #84 on: July 29, 2011, 11:56:29 am »
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McDonnell is not doing anything or giving anything for people to disapprove of - hell, I support the man right now.

Also, VA is a GOP state by sq. mile, but a leaning Dem state by population.
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« Reply #85 on: August 03, 2011, 10:29:20 am »
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We now have a picture of gubernatorial approval of all partisan Governors  east of the Mississippi but two, one of those states now being polled:


Quote
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Peter Shumlin’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 45%
Disapprove...................................................... 36%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%

(Anticlimactic drum-roll!)

It's Vermont. Were you expecting Indiana, which might really be interesting? Or even Alabama?

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VT_0803513.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         307
GOP advantage                                             144      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 21
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 47
Huge 250






« Last Edit: August 12, 2011, 10:17:48 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #86 on: August 03, 2011, 10:45:16 am »
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Pennsylvania

A shift by women voters helps give Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett a 44 - 36 percent job approval, his first noticeable boost in job approval since he took office in January, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Pennsylvania voters like their governor as a person 48 - 15 percent, with 37 percent still undecided. But voters say 43 - 40 percent that they don't like Corbett's policies.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1631
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« Reply #87 on: August 10, 2011, 10:45:53 am »
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New York- Quinnipiac

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
   
Approve              62 %   
Disapprove          22 %   
DK/NA                16  %   
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« Reply #88 on: August 12, 2011, 09:53:03 am »
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Christie back to blue:

Adults: 48-42
RV: 50-41

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP40_2.pdf
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« Reply #89 on: August 12, 2011, 10:11:35 am »
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Quote
A shift by women voters helps give Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett a 44 - 36 percent job approval, his first noticeable boost in job approval since he took office in January, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1631

Seems unlikely -- but the end of the budgetary process may have led to less polarizing results than poison state politics in Florida, Michigan, Ohio, or Wisconsin. Governors gain politically by acting like adults.


pdmurray@monmouth.edu

Quote
Friday, August 12, 2011

GOV. CHRISTIE JOB RATING UP

But property tax concerns still simmering
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s job rating has improved since the state budget was signed, sealed, and line-item vetoed. The latest Monmouth University/NJ Press Media Poll found most state residents are okay with the governor’s controversial cuts. However, there has been a decline in the grades he gets for controlling costs and property tax relief.

Governor Christie currently earns a 48% approve to 42% disapprove job rating among all Garden State residents. Among registered voters, his rating stands at 50% approve to 41% disapprove. This is the first time he has hit the 50% mark in the Monmouth University/NJ Press Media Poll since taking office. It is also the first time since early April that he broke 50% approval in any non-partisan New Jersey poll.

Is there any question that the budgeting process creates trouble for a Governor in a state politically polarized or a Governor facing a hostile state legislature, and that if the budgetary process turns out well the Governor is in good shape?

Quote
August 10, 2011 - Cuomo Is 'good,' 'competent,' 'trying,' New York State Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Gov Is Better Leader Than Obama, Bloomberg

"Good," "competent," "trying," "honest" and "OK" top the list when 1,640 New York State voters use one word to describe Gov. Andrew Cuomo, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. For example 76 voters say "good," followed by 51 who say "competent" and another 51 who say "trying" as in attempting. These are actual voter counts, not percentages.

Except for "arrogant" at number nine on the list, "liberal," a word that goes either way, at 13 and "disappointed" at 22, the 30 top words are positive. Way down the list, 6 people say "bully" and 5 people say "sleazy," but the words are overwhelmingly positive throughout.

In fact, only one person offered a profanity.

New York State voters approve 62 - 22 percent of the job Gov. Cuomo is doing, compared to 64 - 19 percent in a June 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University. Voters say 64 - 12 percent that they like Cuomo as a person and 61 - 26 percent that they like most of his policies.  

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1634

Comment: Andrew Cuomo seems like Presidential material already.

Now for a real turkey, and I doubt that anyone can see him as Presidential material --

August 5, 2011 - Florida Gov's Approval Goes From Terrible To Bad, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Back Caylee's Law 6-1

Quote
Although Gov. Rick Scott's job approval among Florida voters remains seriously below water, his negative 35 - 52 percent score is an improvement from a negative 29 - 57 percent in May, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Florida voters continue to give Gov. Scott negative ratings on his handling of the state budget, its fairness to average voters and about him personally, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1633


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





Seems unlikely -- but the end of the budgetary process may have led to less polarizing results than poison state politics in Florida, Michigan, Ohio, or Wisconsin.

  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         273
GOP advantage                                             137      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 47
Huge 216
« Last Edit: August 12, 2011, 10:21:58 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #90 on: August 12, 2011, 10:26:10 am »
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Quote
Colorado Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Hickenlooper’s job performance?
Approve................. 54%
Disapprove............ 24%
Not sure ................ 22%

Funny name, good results.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_0811925.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





Seems unlikely -- but the end of the budgetary process may have led to less polarizing results than poison state politics in Florida, Michigan, Ohio, or Wisconsin.

  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         273
GOP advantage                                             137      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 47
Huge 216

[/quote]
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« Reply #91 on: August 17, 2011, 09:51:25 pm »
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Quote
Wisconsin Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Scott Walker’s job performance?

Approve................. 45%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 2%

Gigantic improvement in his position after the recall vote.  Winning -- sort of -- helps.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0816925.pdf

Quote
North Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev
Perdue’s job performance?

Approve................. 37%
Disapprove............ 48%
Not sure ................ 15%

Q4 Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or
Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

Governor Perdue ............................................ 44%
Legislative Republicans .................................. 41%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Very poor, but unambiguous improvement for an embattled Governor.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_0812.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





Seems unlikely -- but the end of the budgetary process may have led to less polarizing results than poison state politics in Florida, Michigan, Ohio, or Wisconsin.

  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         273
GOP advantage                                             137      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 50



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 57
Huge 206

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« Reply #92 on: August 30, 2011, 02:46:04 pm »
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Quote
Ohio Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Kasich’s job performance?

Approve................. 36%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 11%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_0818.pdf

Still horrid.

Quote
Iowa Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Terry Branstad’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 41%
Disapprove...................................................... 44%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

On the margin, but Branstad would now win again:

Quote
Q2 If you could redo last fall’s election for
Governor, would you vote for Republican Terry
Branstad or Democrat Chet Culver?
Terry Branstad ................................................ 48%
Chet Culver..................................................... 44%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_0826.pdf

The Republican Governor of Iowa has gained some credibility.


Quote

Kentucky Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Steve Beshear’s job performance?

Approve................. 57%
Disapprove............ 30%
Not sure ................ 13%

The right Democrat can win Kentucky's eight electoral votes, as shown by the popularity of the Democratic Governor. I doubt that it is President Obama, though.



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         267
GOP advantage                                             143      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 56



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 0
Modest 51
Huge 206


A prediction: we will soon see how some of the governors from North Carolina northward fare in the aftermath of Hurricane Irene.  All of the states that got more than a glancing blow from Hurricane Irene (that excludes Florida and South Carolina) voted for President Obama in 2008. Including DC (which isn't going to vote for any Republican in 2012), the thirteen states and DC comprise 140 electoral votes.     


« Last Edit: August 30, 2011, 02:55:24 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #93 on: September 02, 2011, 04:35:03 pm »
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Quote
South Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Nikki Haley’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 41%
Disapprove...................................................... 43%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%

Not too bad. No change, really. At least she is not this:

Quote
Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mark Sanford?
Favorable........................................................ 28%
Unfavorable .................................................... 58%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%

Happy "trails" to you... and don't meet us again!

Don't cry for me, Argentina! the truth is, I never left you!

The "right" Democrat could win in South Carolina:

Quote
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Fritz Hollings?
Favorable........................................................ 33%
Unfavorable .................................................... 31%
Not sure .......................................................... 36%


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_0902925.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             152      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 47



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 9
Modest 51
Huge 206


A prediction: we will soon see how some of the governors from North Carolina northward fare in the aftermath of Hurricane Irene.  All of the states that got more than a glancing blow from Hurricane Irene (that excludes Florida and South Carolina) voted for President Obama in 2008. Including DC (which isn't going to vote for any Republican in 2012), the thirteen states and DC comprise 140 electoral votes.    
« Last Edit: October 14, 2011, 11:32:02 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #94 on: September 07, 2011, 09:57:47 am »
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PPP, WV

The "right" Democrat could win in West Virginia:

Quote
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Earl
Ray Tomblin’s job performance?
Approve................. 50%
Disapprove............ 25%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WV_0907925.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 55
Slight 47



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 9
Modest 51
Huge 206


« Last Edit: September 08, 2011, 12:21:57 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #95 on: September 08, 2011, 10:35:16 am »
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MAJOR improvement for Governor Bev Perdue in North Carolina (PPP)


Quote
North Carolina Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev
Perdue’s job performance?
Approve................. 40%
Disapprove............ 44%
Not sure ................ 16%

Why?

Quote
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of how
Governor Perdue handled Hurricane Irene?
Approve................. 64%
Disapprove............ 20%
Not sure ................ 16%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_0908424.pdf

Such is the acid test of a Governor as an administrator. I would expect the same all the way up the East Coast irrespective of partisan affiliation.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 40
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 9
Modest 51
Huge 206



« Last Edit: September 08, 2011, 12:23:41 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #96 on: September 14, 2011, 05:11:53 am »
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VA Gov. Bob McDonnell remains highly popular, just like Sen. Mark Warner and Sen. Jim Webb:

"Gov. Bob McDonnell, who backed the legislation, remains highly popular with a 61 - 21 percent job approval rating, matching New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo's 62 - 22 percent job approval as the best in states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Not surprisingly, Republicans approve of the governor 79 - 7 percent and independent voters approve 67 - 17 percent, while Democrats are divided 39 - 40 percent. Even black voters, historically a Democratic group, approve 46 - 32 percent, "a highly unusual finding for a Republican office-holder," said Brown. White voters approve of the governor's performance 67 - 18 percent.

Virginians say 56 - 14 percent they like McDonnell personally and by 52 - 26 percent say they like most of his policies. By 53 - 29 percent they approve of his handling of the state budget, and say 55 - 31 percent that the budget is fair to people like them.

...

Virginia voters are generally happy with their political leaders. Giving all their statewide elected political figures positive job approval ratings:

* U.S. Sen. Mark Warner is at 64 - 22 percent, the highest approval of any statewide official;
* U.S. Sen. Jim Webb gets 51 - 30 percent;
* Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling has a 39 - 15 percent approval;
* Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli scores 47 - 29 percent.

From September 6 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,368 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5822.xml?ReleaseID=1643
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« Reply #97 on: September 14, 2011, 07:08:35 am »
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McDonnell will be a serious presidential candidate in 2016 if Obama is reelected.
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« Reply #98 on: September 16, 2011, 04:02:01 pm »
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New poll for Oregon Governor.

http://blog.oregonlive.com/mapesonpolitics/2011/09/in_surveys_oregon_government_d.html

Quote
The survey conducted for Oregon Public Broadcasting and Fox 12 television found that 51 percent of Oregonians give Gov. John Kitzhaber positive marks compared to 31 percent who have a negative view.

Direct link to poll: http://news.opb.org/media/uploads/pdf/2011/091211_mediapartners_annot.pdf
« Last Edit: September 16, 2011, 04:24:29 pm by greenforest32 »Logged
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« Reply #99 on: September 19, 2011, 05:16:26 pm »
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Quote
Gov. Bob McDonnell, who backed the legislation, remains highly popular with a 61 - 21 percent job approval rating, matching New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo's 62 - 22 percent job approval as the best in states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac University.

I see no indication that Governor McDonnell handled the hurricane threat and damage any less well than Governor Bev Perdue in neighboring North Carolina. He might rescue the GOP in 2016 should 2012 prove a debacle for the Republican nominee for President.  So far he is a good administrator who doesn't shoot his mouth off.

Democratic Senators are doing fine there, and Quinnipiac releases a poll on approval for the President on September 15 at 6:30 EST. 

Now for Missouri, usually a good indicator of America as a whole:

Missouri Survey Results


Quote
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jay
Nixon’s job performance?
Approve................. 51%
Disapprove............ 30%
Not sure ................ 19%


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_0914513.pdf

Nothing really changes for either state.

New poll for Oregon Governor.

http://blog.oregonlive.com/mapesonpolitics/2011/09/in_surveys_oregon_government_d.html

Quote
The survey conducted for Oregon Public Broadcasting and Fox 12 television found that 51 percent of Oregonians give Gov. John Kitzhaber positive marks compared to 31 percent who have a negative view.

Direct link to poll: http://news.opb.org/media/uploads/pdf/2011/091211_mediapartners_annot.pdf

Very good!
 

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 40
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 9
Modest 51
Huge 206

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