Canadian by-elections, 2012

[Hatman 🍁]

ooh O'Connor would be great

[DC Al Fine]

Who's the Tory candidate in Durham?

[MaxQue]

Who's the Tory candidate in Durham?

Erin O'Toole, an Heenan Blaikie corporate lawyer.

[adma]

...and son of MPP John O'Toole.

[lilTommy]

ooh O'Connor would be great

O'Conner is exactly the candidate the NDP needs... it would the the highest profile candidate, a former MPP and Mayor, i don't think the NDP can not invest in this riding. It would be a huge steal and if the NDP managed to get 30+ that would be a huge victory in a strong suburban/rural Tory riding.

Oh Murray Rankin is the NDP candidate in Victoria, he had loads of local support (many MLAs came out for him)... i would have liked to see Cull been the candidate as she was a former finance minister and if the NDP wants to build a gov't in waiting they need experienced candidates. But i read she just didn't have the ground game.

Calgary Centre... Isn't Joan Crawfford (sp?) running? she's got a name but very polarizing... i don't see many moderates supporting her; CC is probably the home of most moderates but ya any win by the NDP or Liberals (any candidate there?) would be a huge surprise... but crazier things have happened.

[Hatman 🍁]

Wait. Brock isn't even in the riding. Why would O'Connor run then?

[lilTommy]

Wait. Brock isn't even in the riding. Why would O'Connor run then?

About half of it looks to be in the riding; the southern portion of the township is in Durham, the Northern part is in York-Simcoe... unless i'm looking at that wrong

[Hatman 🍁]

You must be. Durham consists solely of Uxbridge, Scugog and Clarington. No Brock.

[Holmes]

Scandal.

[MaxQue]

You must be. Durham consists solely of Uxbridge, Scugog and Clarington. No Brock.

Well, some can argue than the proposed redistricting for Ontario puts Brock, Uxbridge and Scugog in same riding, with Haliburton and parts of Algonquin Park, so it streches far.

[lilTommy]

You must be. Durham consists solely of Uxbridge, Scugog and Clarington. No Brock.

My bad, Brock is in Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-BROCK... simple enough right

His reasoning might be the riding he represented in 90 was Durham-York and when you compare the two  boundaries i believe only Uxbridge overlaps... still kind of a stretch but on paper he sounds like a good candidate. For ridings like this, stretching might be needed to get good candidates

[Hatman 🍁]

A good launching pad for possible redistribution?

It should be noted that Uxbridge was in the riding that he represented in provincial parliament. If you take a look at what municipalities that riding covered, and the fact that the NDP won there... wow.

[lilTommy]

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1275508--hebert-federal-byelections-could-be-game-changers#.UIaDPoEBfGU.facebook

"On that score, any backlash over Harper’s take-no-prisoners approach to parliamentary debate should logically benefit the NDP.

The federal Liberals, whose governing cousins have summarily shut down the legislatures of Ontario and B.C., are in a poor position to give lessons in parliamentary democracy this fall."

If anyone else it to win Durham and Calgary Centre its probably going to be the NDP...

[Hatman 🍁]

O'Connor wins the nomination in Durham. Dan Meades wins in Calgary Centre.

[trebor204]

Supreme Court of Canada overturns lower courts decsion on By-Election in Etobicoke Centre.

Ted Opitz remains the Conservative MP for Etobicoke Centre
No need for a By-Election

[Hatman 🍁]

4-3 decision with the Chief Justice dissenting. Lebel and Fish joined her dissent. Interesting. I thought McLaughlin was more of a conservative leaning CJ.

[DC Al Fine]

Supreme Court of Canada overturns lower courts decsion on By-Election in Etobicoke Centre.

Ted Opitz remains the Conservative MP for Etobicoke Centre
No need for a By-Election

*Breathes sigh of relief*

[Holmes]

Haha. Well, the Liberals don't need the press or momentum (albeit, artificial) that comes from winning a by-election against the gouverning party. I respect this decision though. I think Elections Canada should be the final say in the matter, not our courts. We're not the United States, here.

[Smid]

Haha. Well, the Liberals don't need the press or momentum (albeit, artificial) that comes from winning a by-election against the gouverning party. I respect this decision though. I think Elections Canada should be the final say in the matter, not our courts. We're not the United States, here.

Indeed, a by-election win by the Liberals would have the media asking questions of "has the orange crush receded under Mulcair?" and that sort of thing.

I'm fine with the Courts being able to overturn election results, where electoral law has been clearly broken, but I think the burden of proof must really lie with the party trying to have the results overturned, to prove that the electoral outcome was affected (not merely "could have been" affected).

[RogueBeaver]

Dippers eyeing Bourassa for when Coderre vacates it next year.

http://www.ipolitics.ca/2012/10/31/new-democrats-already-sizing-up-denis-coderres-riding/

[MaxQue]

Is that really surprising for someone?

[Holmes]

A win there could shut the media up about this Trudeau suuuuuuuuurge! Actually, it wouldn't.

[Smid]

A win there could shut the media up about this Trudeau suuuuuuuuurge! Actually, it wouldn't.

A swing away from the Liberals could potentially have the media talking about how "new Liberal leader Justin Trudeau has failed to stem the outgoing tide in his home province of Quebec..."

[DC Al Fine]

Will the Liberals be running a star candidate in Bourassa?

[RogueBeaver]

I'd assume Coderre has some people in mind, no idea as to whether they're "stars" or not.