Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Insurance Commissioner - Opn Primary
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Donelon, Jim (i)   GOP   464,227   54%
McGehee, Charlotte   Dem   154,293   18%
Parker, Matt   GOP   123,301   14%
Hodge, Donald   Dem   114,292   13%

Lieutenant Governor - Opn Primary
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Holden, Kip   Dem   280,022   32%
Nungesser, Billy   GOP   270,489   31%
Young, John   GOP   261,965   30%
Guillory, Elbert   GOP   72,220   8%

Proposition - 1 - Rename Budget Stabilization - Ballot Issue
Act No. 473 - SB No. 202
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   417,973   52%
Yes   382,340   48%

Proposition - 2 - State Infrastructure Bank - Ballot Issue
Act No. 471 - HB No. 618
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   428,627   53%
No   386,606   47%

Proposition - 3 - Fiscal Sessions - Ballot Issue
Act No. 472 - HB No. 518
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   442,304   55%
Yes   364,417   45%

Proposition - 4 - Instate-Only Tax Exemption - Ballot Issue
Act No. 470 - HB No. 360
3143 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   415,733   51%
No   392,165   49%

[/]

Looks like most of the uncalled precincts are in the Orleans area, with only a few stragglers in the North and West yet to be finalized.

[Landslide Lyndon]

At AOS we've called a runoff spot for Vitter.

AP, too.

So Miles, do you think that these results show that the latest scandals have damaged Vitter?

I'd say so. If Vitter cleared 25% easily, that would have been a much worse sign for Edwards going into the runoff.

I guess it remains to be seen if Angelle and Dardenne endorse Vitter or simply decide to sit on their hands for that race.

[ElectionsGuy]

Woah, something struck me hard. Edwards won Tangipahoa with 55%. Isn't it a pretty Republican parish?

[/]

So yeah, Livingston has been finalized for Edwards.

[Miles]

Woah, something struck me hard. Edwards won Tangipahoa with 55%. Isn't it a pretty Republican parish?

He's from Tangipahoa, but still very impressive.

[/]

Looks like the only remaining parishes with potential to flip are Vernon, Terrebonne, Plaquemines, and Jefferson. Otherwise, the map is pretty much set.

[Pandaguineapig]

Looks like the only remaining parishes with potential to flip are Vernon, Terrebonne, Plaquemines, and Jefferson. Otherwise, the map is pretty much set.

link for that map?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Insurance Commissioner - Opn Primary
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Donelon, Jim (i)   GOP   485,254   54%
McGehee, Charlotte   Dem   163,669   18%
Parker, Matt   GOP   129,777   14%
Hodge, Donald   Dem   120,618   13%

Lieutenant Governor - Opn Primary
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Holden, Kip   Dem   296,939   32%
Nungesser, Billy   GOP   282,937   30%
Young, John   GOP   273,752   29%
Guillory, Elbert   GOP   75,632   8%

Proposition - 1 - Rename Budget Stabilization - Ballot Issue
Act No. 473 - SB No. 202
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   438,813   52%
Yes   401,883   48%

Proposition - 2 - State Infrastructure Bank - Ballot Issue
Act No. 471 - HB No. 618
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   450,477   53%
No   405,908   47%

Proposition - 3 - Fiscal Sessions - Ballot Issue
Act No. 472 - HB No. 518
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   464,175   55%
Yes   383,234   45%

Proposition - 4 - Instate-Only Tax Exemption - Ballot Issue
Act No. 470 - HB No. 360
3333 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 84%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   436,643   51%
No   411,933   49%

[MT Treasurer]

Edwards really not doing well at all in Orleans County... I suspect he'll do much better there in the runoff.

[The Other Castro]

Any thoughts on whether Dardenne or Angelle will endorse Vitter? It seemed unlikely after recent events...

[/]

Looks like the only remaining parishes with potential to flip are Vernon, Terrebonne, Plaquemines, and Jefferson. Otherwise, the map is pretty much set.

link for that map?

http://elections.thelensnola.org/#&detail_level=parishes&race=Governor

[Pandaguineapig]

Looks like the only remaining parishes with potential to flip are Vernon, Terrebonne, Plaquemines, and Jefferson. Otherwise, the map is pretty much set.

link for that map?

thanks

http://elections.thelensnola.org/#&detail_level=parishes&race=Governor

[ElectionsGuy]

Woah, something struck me hard. Edwards won Tangipahoa with 55%. Isn't it a pretty Republican parish?

He's from Tangipahoa, but still very impressive.

Ah, yes. He's also performing pretty strongly in the areas around it too.

[/]

Any thoughts on whether Dardenne or Angelle will endorse Vitter? It seemed unlikely after recent events...

Could either of them possibly endorse Edwards? Maybe Dardenne?

[/]

Looks like the only remaining parishes with potential to flip are Vernon, Terrebonne, Plaquemines, and Jefferson. Otherwise, the map is pretty much set.

Plaquemines and Jefferson called for Vitter.

[ElectionsGuy]

Lt Governor still not called and very close...

Holden (D) - 32%
Nungesser (R) - 31%
Young (R) - 30%

87% in

[/]

Angelle now below 20%; Edwards above 39.

[ElectionsGuy]

We're mainly waiting on the rest of Orleans, Baton Rouge, and St Tammany. Overall, the rest of the votes should benefit Edwards and Dardenne.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Insurance Commissioner - Opn Primary
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Donelon, Jim (i)   GOP   519,271   54%
McGehee, Charlotte   Dem   179,009   19%
Parker, Matt   GOP   137,657   14%
Hodge, Donald   Dem   129,531   13%

Lieutenant Governor - Opn Primary
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Holden, Kip   Dem   323,127   32%
Nungesser, Billy   GOP   302,672   30%
Young, John   GOP   292,822   29%
Guillory, Elbert   GOP   79,596   8%

Proposition - 1 - Rename Budget Stabilization - Ballot Issue
Act No. 473 - SB No. 202
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   471,957   52%
Yes   429,975   48%

Proposition - 2 - State Infrastructure Bank - Ballot Issue
Act No. 471 - HB No. 618
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   485,331   53%
No   433,849   47%

Proposition - 3 - Fiscal Sessions - Ballot Issue
Act No. 472 - HB No. 518
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   495,348   54%
Yes   414,151   46%

Proposition - 4 - Instate-Only Tax Exemption - Ballot Issue
Act No. 470 - HB No. 360
3653 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 93%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   469,141   52%
No   441,628   48%

[/]

Only nine more parishes to go, and only one more tossup (Terrebonne).

[The Other Castro]

It looks like most of our predictions were pretty accurate on this one.

[Maxwell]

I suspect Angelle endorses Vitter, he probably wants to remain in the party's good graces. However, there is a strong possibility Dardenne endorses Edwards.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Insurance Commissioner - Opn Primary
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Donelon, Jim (i)   GOP   522,770   54%
McGehee, Charlotte   Dem   180,087   18%
Parker, Matt   GOP   140,131   14%
Hodge, Donald   Dem   130,584   13%

Lieutenant Governor - Opn Primary
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Holden, Kip   Dem   325,238   32%
Nungesser, Billy   GOP   305,087   30%
Young, John   GOP   295,688   29%
Guillory, Elbert   GOP   80,441   8%

Proposition - 1 - Rename Budget Stabilization - Ballot Issue
Act No. 473 - SB No. 202
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   476,222   52%
Yes   433,122   48%

Proposition - 2 - State Infrastructure Bank - Ballot Issue
Act No. 471 - HB No. 618
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   488,867   53%
No   437,926   47%

Proposition - 3 - Fiscal Sessions - Ballot Issue
Act No. 472 - HB No. 518
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name   Votes   Vote %
No   499,867   55%
Yes   417,136   45%

Proposition - 4 - Instate-Only Tax Exemption - Ballot Issue
Act No. 470 - HB No. 360
3695 of 3945 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Yes   473,175   52%
No   445,173   48%

[Miles]

Atlas map I generated. I'll  be updating it as everything gets in.