The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[7,052,770]

McDaniel probably still nets 3-4000 notes in Jones County alone. But I feel like Cochran's going to pull this out tonight.

[Miles]

First IA votes have Ernst at 56%.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

62.7% in; Cochran still leads 51-48.

[Maxwell]

0.4% of the votes in Iowa - Sam Clovis leads 45-26

#thingsthatobviouslywon'thold

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Most of the counties that are still out are in Cochran country.

I'm thinking he pulls it off tonight. I'm okay with this - I'd rather have a 100% chance of a sane Republican than an (at best) 50-50 shot at electing a D or a white nationalist.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Clovis pulls ahead in Iowa, but with 7 precincts in. He leads in Cherokee county with about 45% so far. Ernst leads almost everywhere else.

EDIT: Ernst is ahead now. 1% in, leads Clovis 34-33.

[GaussLaw]

Guys, looking at the county map it appears that the area right North of Mississippi's coastal counties is uber-pro-McDaniel.  According to region maps this is still considered the "coastal" region of Mississippi, so why is Cochran (and other establishment GOPers) so weak here?

[Lief 🗽]

RIP Teabaggers. Can't even win a primary in the Deep South anymore. What a shame.

[ElectionsGuy]

62.7% in; Cochran still leads 51-48.

Pretty consistent now

[Miles]

Perry County is the only county still all out in MS04. Counties next to it backed Palazzo. Worries me a bit.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

First votes from Montana are in; Walsh leads by 30%. Obviously won't hold.

[Maxwell]

Clovis pulls ahead in Iowa, but with 7 precincts in. He leads in Cherokee county with about 45% so far. Ernst leads almost everywhere else.

EDIT: Ernst is ahead now. 1% in, leads Clovis 34-33.

That's a shame. If Clovis weren't so unabashedly anti-gay marriage, he might've had my vote. Anyone but Ernst.

[RogueBeaver]

AOSHQDD projects a Cochran lead, unclear about a runoff.

[publicunofficial]

Bonnie Coleman is looking pretty safe for NJ-12, she's up 8,000 votes with half of Middlesex (Greenstein's county) in.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Guys, looking at the county map it appears that the area right North of Mississippi's coastal counties is uber-pro-McDaniel.  According to region maps this is still considered the "coastal" region of Mississippi, so why is Cochran (and other establishment GOPers) so weak here?

McDaniel is from that area.

[Del Tachi]

Guys, looking at the county map it appears that the area right North of Mississippi's coastal counties is uber-pro-McDaniel.  According to region maps this is still considered the "coastal" region of Mississippi, so why is Cochran (and other establishment GOPers) so weak here?

I've always considered these places more like the Pine Belt than the Coast.  It makes sense to me that McDaniel would post large margins here. 

Most populous county in the north with still no results is Pontotoc, which should post a pretty solid margin for Cochran - he was born there. 

[Miles]

54% for AL-06 and still a crapshoot for 2nd place.

Palmer- 19%
Beason- 17%
Mathis- 16%

[rbt48]

Can't see anything other than a runoff for Taylor and Palazzo in MS.

[Sol]

Can't see anything other than a runoff for Taylor and Palazzo in MS.

Is Palazzo favored? You'd think he would be, but Taylor might do well with olds.

[ElectionsGuy]

69% in and 50-48 Cochran, still reason to be nervous about a runoff.

[Miles]

Yep, its up to Rankin county at this point...

[GaussLaw]

Guys, looking at the county map it appears that the area right North of Mississippi's coastal counties is uber-pro-McDaniel.  According to region maps this is still considered the "coastal" region of Mississippi, so why is Cochran (and other establishment GOPers) so weak here?

I've always considered these places more like the Pine Belt than the Coast.  It makes sense to me that McDaniel would post large margins here. 

Most populous county in the north with still no results is Pontotoc, which should post a pretty solid margin for Cochran - he was born there. 

That's the odd thing though; it appears that Cochran's doing fine in the pine belt based on the region maps I see since the map looks like Pine Belt begins around Jasper County and goes North, and Cochran dominates the central to northern region of the Pine Belt.  Gingrich, the "anti-establishment" 2014 candidate, also did really well in Southern Pine Belt/Northern coastal region, but not in central to northern pine belt.  Is there a reason for this "redneck rectangle"(in jest) of green counties on the NYT map? I get McDaniel lives there, but the pattern seems to have lasted longer than that.

[ElectionsGuy]

Looks like Palazzo is edging up again. Could he avoid a runoff? Still 1/4 of the votes left.

[Miles]

Looks like Palazzo is edging up again. Could he avoid a runoff? Still 1/4 of the votes left.

Thats what I'm worried about. 2/3 or more of the Gulf counties are in already.

[7,052,770]

hopefully Childers will take down his campaign site.

WTF? He's not just going to quit...

Maybe Cochran will be 2006 Bunning all over again. I doubt it, but you never know...