2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 173205 times)
AtorBoltox
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« Reply #825 on: July 09, 2018, 08:21:43 AM »
So much money and he can't even get a consistent poll lead
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #826 on: July 09, 2018, 08:22:29 AM »
We have a thread for this stuff Limo
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Gass3268
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« Reply #827 on: July 09, 2018, 08:34:23 AM »
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #828 on: July 09, 2018, 08:34:37 AM »
CA-45, IA-03, NJ-03, and Texas have democratic candidates showing financial strength.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #829 on: July 09, 2018, 08:43:00 AM »
That puts NJ-3 on the map again. Remember, this district had a Dem congressman during the last Dem majority.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #830 on: July 09, 2018, 08:50:34 AM »
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #831 on: July 09, 2018, 08:50:58 AM »

Time for Atlases daily dose of Limo getting owned
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #832 on: July 09, 2018, 08:53:53 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on July 09, 2018, 08:34:37 AM
CA-45, IA-03, NJ-03, and Texas have democratic candidates showing financial strength.







Very, very good numbers. Dems clearly have the cash advantage at this point in time, the only exceptions being self funders.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #833 on: July 09, 2018, 09:26:43 AM »
With recent Democratic gains in the GCB, G. Elliot Morris's model currently gives the Democrats a 70-75% chance of winning the House in November:
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Brittain33
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« Reply #834 on: July 09, 2018, 09:28:20 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 09, 2018, 09:26:43 AM
With recent Democratic gains in the GCB, G. Elliot Morris's model currently gives the Democrats a 70-75% chance of winning the House in November:



Interesting. No flips in Illinois or NC, and only Va-10 flips in that state.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #835 on: July 09, 2018, 09:40:36 AM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on July 09, 2018, 09:28:20 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 09, 2018, 09:26:43 AM
With recent Democratic gains in the GCB, G. Elliot Morris's model currently gives the Democrats a 70-75% chance of winning the House in November:



Interesting. No flips in Illinois or NC, and only Va-10 flips in that state.

FL-18 flipping here is a bit odd... it's possible but I don't think it'll happen.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #836 on: July 09, 2018, 09:42:16 AM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 09, 2018, 09:40:36 AM
Quote from: Brittain33 on July 09, 2018, 09:28:20 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 09, 2018, 09:26:43 AM
With recent Democratic gains in the GCB, G. Elliot Morris's model currently gives the Democrats a 70-75% chance of winning the House in November:



Interesting. No flips in Illinois or NC, and only Va-10 flips in that state.

FL-18 flipping here is a bit odd... it's possible but I don't think it'll happen.

Not sure the map has been updated yet. He said in another tweet his currently working out some coding bugs.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #837 on: July 09, 2018, 10:50:35 AM »
Morris is probably right.  But always remember Hillary was almost everyone’s winner for the whole cycle and by greater %s than 75%.

You lefties actually have some people afraid to express there support.  I even have second thoughts about putting up a Trump sign or putting on a bumper sticker.  It really makes me mad I have to worry about this because some of you have developed derangement syndromes and will take it to the point of destroying property and injuring persons.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #838 on: July 09, 2018, 11:03:26 AM »
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on July 09, 2018, 10:50:35 AM
Morris is probably right.  But always remember Hillary was almost everyone’s winner for the whole cycle and by greater %s than 75%.

You lefties actually have some people afraid to express there support.  I even have second thoughts about putting up a Trump sign or putting on a bumper sticker.  It really makes me mad I have to worry about this because some of you have developed derangement syndromes and will take it to the point of destroying property and injuring persons.
I really don’t care, man. I come here for low to mid grade analysis of House races. Some senior citizen getting worried about wearing a MAGA hat doesn’t belong in this thread
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ajc0918
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« Reply #839 on: July 09, 2018, 12:11:22 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2018, 12:26:15 PM by ajc0918 »
CA-45:
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ajc0918
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« Reply #840 on: July 09, 2018, 12:13:23 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2018, 12:25:37 PM by ajc0918 »

IA-03:
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #841 on: July 09, 2018, 12:13:36 PM »
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Zaybay
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« Reply #842 on: July 09, 2018, 12:16:13 PM »
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on July 09, 2018, 10:50:35 AM
Morris is probably right.  But always remember Hillary was almost everyone’s winner for the whole cycle and by greater %s than 75%.

You lefties actually have some people afraid to express there support.  I even have second thoughts about putting up a Trump sign or putting on a bumper sticker.  It really makes me mad I have to worry about this because some of you have developed derangement syndromes and will take it to the point of destroying property and injuring persons.
There have been little politically motivated attacks on people's property by those on the Left or the Right, though most of the perps have been on the right. I also seem to remember some derangement syndromes of people on the right throughout Obama's presidency. For Gods sake, Fox News was insulting Obama for ordering Dijon mustard on his hamburger and calling him an elite, out of touch, jerk.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #843 on: July 09, 2018, 12:26:38 PM »
TX-31:
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #844 on: July 09, 2018, 12:32:59 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 09, 2018, 12:26:38 PM
TX-31:





R+10 district. Good luck to her.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #845 on: July 09, 2018, 12:39:25 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on July 09, 2018, 12:32:59 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 09, 2018, 12:26:38 PM
TX-31:





R+10 district. Good luck to her.

GOP territory but PPP found her down only 46-40 in a poll from November. After a scripted bio question Hegar was up 46-44. Unlikely to flip but it's well worth going after to keep the GOP on the defensive.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/TexasCD31Results.pdf
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #846 on: July 09, 2018, 01:01:45 PM »
Quote from: Arkansas Yankee on July 09, 2018, 10:50:35 AM
Morris is probably right.  But always remember Hillary was almost everyone’s winner for the whole cycle and by greater %s than 75%.

You lefties actually have some people afraid to express there support.  I even have second thoughts about putting up a Trump sign or putting on a bumper sticker.  It really makes me mad I have to worry about this because some of you have developed derangement syndromes and will take it to the point of destroying property and injuring persons.

Oh no! People are afraid of supporting the administration that took away thousands of children from their families! My heavens! My stars and garters!
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #847 on: July 09, 2018, 01:32:15 PM »
« Edited: July 09, 2018, 02:11:47 PM by Interlocutor »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on July 09, 2018, 12:32:59 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on July 09, 2018, 12:26:38 PM
TX-31:





R+10 district. Good luck to her.

If it means laying down party/campaign infrastructure which can flip this district by 2030, I'm all for it
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #848 on: July 09, 2018, 02:06:10 PM »
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #849 on: July 09, 2018, 02:08:27 PM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on July 09, 2018, 02:06:10 PM


Shocked
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