CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MN Gov Rating tilt D--->likely D

LMAO T Paw!!!!

omg how did this happen?!

I also think Walz carries his congressional district again in the gov race.

It happened because nobody had any appetite for Pawlenty's attempt at a political comeback.

(With the disclaimer that I have not officially called the race)

As I said on here and on discord several times, Pawlenty's Governorship was very meh to most Minnesotans - no one loves him, and no one hates him. He was the favorite heading into the primary because MUH INCUMBENCY, but ultimately the enthusiasm for him just wasn't there.

[ElectionsGuy]

I expect the final margin to be 50-43 Vukmir in the Senate primary. Dems are winning 55.4% of primary vote thus far. Tough to beat Walker but even tougher for Walker to win in a Democratic favored year with a Democratic Senator likely to win alongside him on the ballot.

[Gass3268]

Another Dane County dump.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Today has been a great night for Democrats, especially in Wisconsin.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - FINISHING UP CT:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bob Stefanowski
36,653   29.6%   
Mark D. Boughton
26,318   21.2   
David Stemerman
22,488   18.1   
Tim Herbst
22,047   17.8   
Steve Obsitnik
16,486   13.3   
123,992 votes, 77% reporting (540 of 701 precincts)

Treasurer
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Thad Gray
60,648   55.7%   
Art Linares
48,283   44.3   
108,931 votes, 75% reporting (528 of 701 precincts)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Map's beginning to fill in...

Minnesota is going to be very interesting compared to the 2016 general election map.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

Yeah, pretty much my thinking as well.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

I think Walz being at the top helps drive up Democratic turnout in the District, making it easier for Democrats to win there.

[136or142]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

The district is actually trending more Democratic though as it becomes more and more urban.

[Gass3268]

Evers bringing the fire!

https://twitter.com/lkwhite/status/1029565729702666240

[136or142]

How about putting WI-07 and WI-08 on the board of competitive seats?

I just took WI-07 off my list.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - WI:

Treasurer

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Sarah Godlewski
145,405   44.0%   
Dawn Sass
104,537   31.7   
Cynthia Kaump
80,259   24.3   
330,201 votes, 63% reporting (2,284 of 3,641 precincts)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

NYT has called it against T Paw!!!!

[libertpaulian]

64% in and Evers is up almost 80k votes.  Still got 47 precincts left in Dane.

[IceSpear]

If Walz, Klobuchar, and potentially even Smith carry MN-01, I don't see why one would be pessimistic of Dem chances of winning it as an open seat in a Dem wave year.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Walz now called winner by NYT.

[Dr. Arch]

Evers bringing the fire!

https://twitter.com/lkwhite/status/1029565729702666240

LOL! That's beautiful. 

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Walz, Klobuchar, and potentially even Smith carry MN-01, I don't see why one would be pessimistic of Dem chances of winning it as an open seat in a Dem wave year.

Ellison definitely won't .

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, it happened. Six offices, one nominee. LOL @ VT GOP

Senate
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brooke Paige
8,933   39.7%   
Lawrence Zupan
8,489   37.7   
Jasdeep Pannu
4,127   18.3   
Roque De La Fuente
946   4.2   
22,495 votes, 93% reporting (255 of 275 precincts)

That completes Vermont.

[Adam Griffin]

GOP wins Green Bay (Brown) by a couple of points (51.4-48.6). Trump carried it by 11.

[Dr. Arch]

Well, it happened. Six offices, one nominee. LOL @ VT GOP

Senate
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brooke Paige
8,933   39.7%   
Lawrence Zupan
8,489   37.7   
Jasdeep Pannu
4,127   18.3   
Roque De La Fuente
946   4.2   
22,495 votes, 93% reporting (255 of 275 precincts)

That completes Vermont.

Dead forever. Rest in Pepperonis.

[IceSpear]

If Walz, Klobuchar, and potentially even Smith carry MN-01, I don't see why one would be pessimistic of Dem chances of winning it as an open seat in a Dem wave year.

Ellison definitely won't .

Dan Feehan seems to fit the Klobuchar/Smith/Walz mold far more than the Ellison mold...

[Adam Griffin]

GOP wins Green Bay (Brown) by a couple of points (51.4-48.6). Trump carried it by 11.

And Dems win Kenosha (56.5-43.5); Trump won it by less than a point.