CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

U.S. Senate »

Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Thomas R. Carper*
28,560   63.7%
Kerri Harris
16,281   36.3
44,841 votes, 53% reporting (187 of 353 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Robert Arlett
12,883   69.4%
Eugene Truono
4,754   25.6
Rocky De La Fuente
934   5.0
18,571 votes, 53% reporting (187 of 353 precincts)

Attorney General
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Kathleen Jennings
24,475   55.9%
LaKresha Roberts
9,757   22.3
Christofer Johnson
6,832   15.6
Timothy Mullaney
2,748   6.3
43,812 votes, 53% reporting (186 of 353 precincts)

[Nyvin]

Congrats to Carper.   I really hope this is his last term.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

Who should take them? Maryland or New Jersey?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

U.S. House At-Large »
Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Scott Walker
18,972   53.1%
Lee Murphy
16,759   46.9
35,731 votes, 95% reporting (334 of 353 precincts)

Auditor
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Kathleen McGuiness
31,871   41.8%
Kathleen Davies
26,668   35.0
Dennis Williams
17,652   23.2
76,191 votes, 94% reporting (333 of 353 precincts)

That wraps up tonight.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

Who should take them? Maryland or New Jersey?

Maryland would be the aesthetically rational choice, but I'm willing to hear arguments for PA and NJ.

[Doimper]

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

Who should take them? Maryland or New Jersey?

Maryland would be the aesthetically rational choice, but I'm willing to hear arguments for PA and NJ.

We don't want it.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Senate Primary Turnout tonight: 69% Dem

[ON Progressive]

Senate Primary Turnout tonight: 69% Dem

Nice.

[MAINEiac4434]

A rotten borough for credit card companies chooses to send back a Senator who represents credit card companies. Not surprising. Delaware doesn't deserve Kerri anyway.

[Doimper]

Senate Primary Turnout tonight: 69% Dem

Nice.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Senate Primary Turnout tonight: 69% Dem

Nice.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Senate Primary Turnout tonight: 69% Dem

Nice.

[Sadader]

Wooooo Carper. FF for being the only Dem to stand with President Obama on trade. The margin seems disappointing though...

[DINGO Joe]

Not a surprise but still awful.

Whatever. Delaware is a stupid State that shouldn't even exist.

Who should take them? Maryland or New Jersey?

Maryland would be the aesthetically rational choice, but I'm willing to hear arguments for PA and NJ.

If you attach it to Pennsylvania, then it looks like PA has a hipster goatee. 

Of course if your gonna get rid of Delaware you gotta combine the Great Plains

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Lol another Scott Walker

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Lol another Scott Walker

Ey man, the more we get the opportunity to beat, the better!

[smoltchanov]

Well, good results from Delaware with Carper whipping Taylor ass convincingly. And, with republicans nominating a pair of "solid conservatives" for Senate and House, Democratic hold of this districts is even more guaranteed...

[Holmes]

Well, good results from Delaware with Carper whipping Taylor ass convincingly. And, with republicans nominating a pair of "solid conservatives" for Senate and House, Democratic hold of this districts is even more guaranteed...

It was never in question.

[smoltchanov]

Well, good results from Delaware with Carper whipping Taylor ass convincingly. And, with republicans nominating a pair of "solid conservatives" for Senate and House, Democratic hold of this districts is even more guaranteed...

It was never in question.

Yes. But now it's even more solid. And this time "progressive challenge" went well short (and that's good too).

[Antonio the Sixth]

36% is a start. We have 6 years to build on it and mount a more serious challenge. Let's get to it.

[smoltchanov]

36% is a start. We have 6 years to build on it and mount a more serious challenge. Let's get to it.

Well, Lively also got 36% in Massachusetts. I doubt that 4 years from now he will get more... BTW - Delaware is NOT very liberal state. Mostly Democratic - yes, but it's Democrats are, usually, of moderate-liberal (sometimes - even left-center) variety. Even John Biden wasn't a firebrand.... And the most rapidly growing county in the state, IIRC, is conservative Sussex.

[Adam Griffin]

If I had to guess, I'd say something like 62-38 tonight, but this election cycle has proven so volatile and unstable that it's impossible to make a prediction with any degree of certainty.

I expected that'd be her absolute ceiling (and that given the climate, she'd reach it), so she did fairly well given the circumstances. DE isn't so different from MD in some ways, and since it appears there wasn't much of a race gap in this contest, she was basically locked to around 1/3 of the vote regardless.

For those who are curious:

2018 Primary:
(2016 Presidential)

Statewide: 68.7-31.3
(56.0-44.0)

New Castle: 78.4-21.6
(65.6-34.4)
Kent: 60.3-39.7
(52.6-47.4)
Sussex: 51.2-48.8
(61.4-38.6)

[Zaybay]

36% is a start. We have 6 years to build on it and mount a more serious challenge. Let's get to it.

Well, Lively also got 36% in Massachusetts. I doubt that 4 years from now he will get more... BTW - Delaware is NOT very liberal state. Mostly Democratic - yes, but it's Democrats are, usually, of moderate-liberal (sometimes - even left-center) variety. Even John Biden wasn't a firebrand.... And the most rapidly growing county in the state, IIRC, is conservative Sussex.

Both of these accounts are wrong. Lively got 36% as he was a protest vote to the moderate Baker. The trend of the MA electorate is one of Trump Conservatism, so, theoretically, if he were to run against Baker again in 2022, its entirely likely that he would garner a larger percentage of the vote.

And about DE, while its federal delegation are rather moderate, the state legislature is rather Progressive. The problem for DE is that many of its officeholders like to stay in office, so you have people who still think its the 1980s in terms of politics(Biden, Carper) staying in power. While DE does identify as more moderate than, say, HI, MA, or CT, its still as able to elect progressives as any of the previous states.

[smoltchanov]

36% is a start. We have 6 years to build on it and mount a more serious challenge. Let's get to it.

Well, Lively also got 36% in Massachusetts. I doubt that 4 years from now he will get more... BTW - Delaware is NOT very liberal state. Mostly Democratic - yes, but it's Democrats are, usually, of moderate-liberal (sometimes - even left-center) variety. Even John Biden wasn't a firebrand.... And the most rapidly growing county in the state, IIRC, is conservative Sussex.

Both of these accounts are wrong. Lively got 36% as he was a protest vote to the moderate Baker. The trend of the MA electorate is one of Trump Conservatism, so, theoretically, if he were to run against Baker again in 2022, its entirely likely that he would garner a larger percentage of the vote.

And about DE, while its federal delegation are rather moderate, the state legislature is rather Progressive. The problem for DE is that many of its officeholders like to stay in office, so you have people who still think its the 1980s in terms of politics(Biden, Carper) staying in power. While DE does identify as more moderate than, say, HI, MA, or CT, its still as able to elect progressives as any of the previous states.

Wrong on both points. While Massachusetts Republican party becomes more conservative, i am absolutely sure that Lively will NOT get 36% next time. As a minimum - because there will be more serious conservative (though not as conservative as Lively) Republican candidate.

And Delaware elects Carney, Coons, Carper and their like. It "CAN" elect progressive, but absolutely not "MUST". As a rule - it's these "pragmatic moderates" (or even a centrists), who occupies main offices in this state. Even yestedray - more pragmatic candidates won for Auditor and some other offices. We don't speak here about who will be elected in Delaware SD-01, we speak about whole state. And Sussex really grows the most. So, NEw Castle county (the most liberal by far) may become somewhat lee important decade from now..