The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[wbrocks67]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

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Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

[Mr. Morden]

Booker says that during the holidays, he’ll decide whether to run for reelection, and “begin to think about running for president”:

https://pix11.com/2018/12/03/sen-cory-booker-says-hell-think-about-2020-presidential-run-over-the-holidays/

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Sanders:

http://time.com/5469110/bernie-sanders-presidential-campaign-2020/

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Bennet “seriously thinking about running”, according to three sources who talked to him in recent months:

http://www.cpr.org/news/story/senator-michael-bennet-seriously-thinking-about-2020-presidential-run

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

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Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

You think a President Gabbard would be worse than a President Webb?

[Zaybay]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

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Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

Excellent news! She would be forced out of the HI primary if thats the case, depriving her of her house seat. She wouldnt win the presidential primary, and would just be one of the longshots who throw everything away for an iota of a chance.

[Coldstream]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

Excellent news! She would be forced out of the HI primary if thats the case, depriving her of her house seat. She wouldnt win the presidential primary, and would just be one of the longshots who throw everything away for an iota of a chance.

Personally I think this is why she won’t run. She knows she can’t win - at least this cycle - and she’d be throwing away her congressional seat and platform. Also, if Sanders runs she loses her biggest asset of being able to run as a Sanders supporter.

[henster]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

Excellent news! She would be forced out of the HI primary if thats the case, depriving her of her house seat. She wouldnt win the presidential primary, and would just be one of the longshots who throw everything away for an iota of a chance.

Personally I think this is why she won’t run. She knows she can’t win - at least this cycle - and she’d be throwing away her congressional seat and platform. Also, if Sanders runs she loses her biggest asset of being able to run as a Sanders supporter.

Can't she run for both at the same time?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

What appeal does Deval Patrick have?  Does he have any distinguishing features that I just don't know of?

He has great optics/character. A decent mix of progressive/establishment beliefs. One of the few African American governors in U.S. history.

Suffers from a lack of national popularity and a lot of ties to the Democratic establishment.

In a competitive primary, I can see his campaign going identically to that of Scott Walker's in 2016. Popular governor to the politicos, wins a poll or two, does good for a month or so and his campaign proceeds to nosedive completely.

[lfromnj]

More importantly wtf does julian Castro have. Of any presidential candidate he confuses me the most and I want to see him go down in flames

[NYSforKennedy2024]

More importantly wtf does julian Castro have. Of any presidential candidate he confuses me the most and I want to see him go down in flames

Decent charisma. Necessarily hasn't done much wrong in his career but HUD overspending would be a major campaign flaw. Latino with ties to California and Texas as well. He could be pushed as a young establishment Democratic candidate, but his odds of getting the VP seat are higher.

[henster]

What appeal does Deval Patrick have?  Does he have any distinguishing features that I just don't know of?

He has great optics/character. A decent mix of progressive/establishment beliefs. One of the few African American governors in U.S. history.

Suffers from a lack of national popularity and a lot of ties to the Democratic establishment.

In a competitive primary, I can see his campaign going identically to that of Scott Walker's in 2016. Popular governor to the politicos, wins a poll or two, does good for a month or so and his campaign proceeds to nosedive completely.

His biggest challenge is making it into the main debate and not the undercard debate. This will become a huge problem for a lot candiates like Bullock as well with little name ID. I mean nobody's talking about him outside of this forum and some blogs, he has less than 40K followers on twitter and 50K on FB. The rules are going to have to be pretty lax for him to make it to the main debate.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1069726334056914944

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1069726334056914944

His anti-Pelosi gambit probably cost him any possible momentum for President or even a future in running for Markey's seat when he retires. I wonder if his constituents miss Tierney by now.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1069726334056914944

Please no, Seth.

[Spiffy]

Not sure if this was posted yet but here you go...

https://twitter.com/steinhausernh1/status/1069711257220075521?s=21

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Not sure if this was posted yet but here you go...

https://twitter.com/steinhausernh1/status/1069711257220075521?s=21

Looks like we could add Booker to the list.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Didn't see this in the last few pages:

Sen. Michael Bennet ‘Seriously Thinking’ About A 2020 Run For President (Bente Bierkeland, Colorado Public Radio)

I wasn't expecting this. I know Bennet has voiced frustration with the culture of the Senate, but I would have figured he would have left for agency work or private sector work before trying a Presidential run. It'd be pretty interesting seeing a race between him and Hickenlooper - Bennet's base seems like it would be rather small and niche and he hardly has a chance with anyone in the Progressive Wing who pays any attention to individual Senator's voting records.

[Frodo]

Biden will make his decision within the next couple of months. 

[JG]

Didn't see this in the last few pages:

Sen. Michael Bennet ‘Seriously Thinking’ About A 2020 Run For President (Bente Bierkeland, Colorado Public Radio)

I wasn't expecting this. I know Bennet has voiced frustration with the culture of the Senate, but I would have figured he would have left for agency work or private sector work before trying a Presidential run. It'd be pretty interesting seeing a race between him and Hickenlooper - Bennet's base seems like it would be rather small and niche and he hardly has a chance with anyone in the Progressive Wing who pays any attention to individual Senator's voting records.

I remember him also being mentioned by Obama as a potential presidential candidate, which really surprised me at the time. I wonder if Patrick doesn't end up running, whether or not Obamaworld will throw its weight behind Bennet.

[Karpatsky]

I didn't see this get posted: Avenatti out, thank goodness.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/04/avenatti-announces-that-he-will-not-run-for-president-in-2020-1043388

[Lourdes]

He never had a chance anyway.

[Kylar]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/stacey-abrams-is-not-ruling-out-2020-presidential-run/ar-BBQuqTt
FYI...all I have to say to this is good grief.

[new_patomic]

I didn't see this get posted: Avenatti out, thank goodness.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/04/avenatti-announces-that-he-will-not-run-for-president-in-2020-1043388

Our long national nightmare is slightly less nightmarish.

[UWS]

Biden will make his decision within the next couple of months.  

More precisely, he said in the nex two months, which means that he will announce in February. And if he says that he's the most qualified, I guess that's a sign that he will run.

[136or142]

Didn't see this in the last few pages:

Sen. Michael Bennet ‘Seriously Thinking’ About A 2020 Run For President (Bente Bierkeland, Colorado Public Radio)

I wasn't expecting this. I know Bennet has voiced frustration with the culture of the Senate, but I would have figured he would have left for agency work or private sector work before trying a Presidential run. It'd be pretty interesting seeing a race between him and Hickenlooper - Bennet's base seems like it would be rather small and niche and he hardly has a chance with anyone in the Progressive Wing who pays any attention to individual Senator's voting records.

I remember him also being mentioned by Obama as a potential presidential candidate, which really surprised me at the time. I wonder if Patrick doesn't end up running, whether or not Obamaworld will throw its weight behind Bennet.

I doubt it, Bennet voted for Gorsuch. 

Based on Bennet's 2016 reelection numbers which mirrored the numbers of the Democratic Party in the state at the Congressional and Presidential level, even though he was running against a weak challenger, Bennet strikes me as a generic corporate Democrat.

[2016]

Biden will make his decision within the next couple of months.  

More precisely, he said in the nex two months, which means that he will announce in February. And if he says that he's the most qualified, I guess that's a sign that he will run.

I don't think Biden will win the Nomination. I've read Articles out of IA that the Democrats over there want a younger Candidate.