Official Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Discussion Thread
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #675 on: April 22, 2008, 08:21:20 PM »
Quote from: Georges Marchais on April 22, 2008, 08:19:57 PM
Why is CNN saying Clinton wins 28 delegates in PA?

Presumably that's the minimum statewide delegates they think she'll win. 28 is half of those distributed statewide, so, since they've projected her the winner, she'll win at least 28 (and probably somewhat more).
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BRTD
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« Reply #676 on: April 22, 2008, 08:21:28 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

Impossible to tell due to the gerrymandering.
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Person Man
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« Reply #677 on: April 22, 2008, 08:21:50 PM »
53-47.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #678 on: April 22, 2008, 08:21:58 PM »
I would've thought Obama would jump out to a big lead early. He isn't winning Philly by as big a margin as I thought.
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Torie
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« Reply #679 on: April 22, 2008, 08:22:22 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

It will be Clinton. She is running strong with white voters in Philly. And the 13th part of Montco has a lot of Jews in it.
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Person Man
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« Reply #680 on: April 22, 2008, 08:22:43 PM »
Looks like my prediction was right if this holds.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #681 on: April 22, 2008, 08:23:05 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on April 22, 2008, 08:21:58 PM
I would've thought Obama would jump out to a big lead early. He isn't winning Philly by as big a margin as I thought.

As has been said, the white areas of Philly report first. Thus Clinton led it early, and Obama's lead there has been steadily increasing as more comes in.
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Person Man
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« Reply #682 on: April 22, 2008, 08:23:18 PM »
16% for Paulie.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #683 on: April 22, 2008, 08:23:28 PM »
Quote from: Torie on April 22, 2008, 08:22:22 PM
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

It will be Clinton. She is running strong with white voters in Philly. And the 13th part of Montco has a lot of Jews in it.
According to exits, Obama only lost Jews by single-digits. They're hardly a pro-Clinton bloc.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #684 on: April 22, 2008, 08:23:49 PM »
Fulton Co. cracks me up.  7% in and only 4 votes.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #685 on: April 22, 2008, 08:23:59 PM »
Quote from: Georges Marchais on April 22, 2008, 08:19:57 PM
Why is CNN saying Clinton wins 28 delegates in PA?

At least 28 delegates.  Those aren't the final delegate numbers, obviously.
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Torie
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« Reply #686 on: April 22, 2008, 08:24:38 PM »
Ya, but the point is that Montco at least in the 13th part of it, isn't going to erase Obama's northeast Philly deficit.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #687 on: April 22, 2008, 08:24:46 PM »
I think Casey shaved his unibrow.
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BRTD
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« Reply #688 on: April 22, 2008, 08:25:22 PM »
Wow, Obama leads in Union with 7% in.
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J. J.
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« Reply #689 on: April 22, 2008, 08:25:27 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

None of those counties are in yet.

Phila 38% in, Obama is at 56%.  Right now, he's running slightly worse than Jesse Jackson in 1988.
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Person Man
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« Reply #690 on: April 22, 2008, 08:26:19 PM »
The state no longer has data...you think someone is rigging the polls as we speak?
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J. J.
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« Reply #691 on: April 22, 2008, 08:26:39 PM »

Bucknell University, and the numbers are still small.
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Person Man
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« Reply #692 on: April 22, 2008, 08:27:07 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on April 22, 2008, 08:25:27 PM
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

None of those counties are in yet.

Phila 38% in, Obama is at 56%.  Right now, he's running slightly worse than Jesse Jackson in 1988.

Oh. Wow. Jesse Jackson.
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Torie
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« Reply #693 on: April 22, 2008, 08:27:26 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on April 22, 2008, 08:25:27 PM
Quote from: Frodo on April 22, 2008, 08:20:37 PM
Sorry, I have to ask: who is winning PA 13?  Tongue

None of those counties are in yet.

Phila 38% in, Obama is at 56%.  Right now, he's running slightly worse than Jesse Jackson in 1988.

About 40% of PA 13 is Northeast Philly.
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Person Man
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« Reply #694 on: April 22, 2008, 08:27:45 PM »
58% in Filly.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #695 on: April 22, 2008, 08:27:54 PM »
Obama's lead in Dauphin is actually increasing.
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War on Want
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« Reply #696 on: April 22, 2008, 08:28:00 PM »
Philly keeps on going stronger for Obama as expected.
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Person Man
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« Reply #697 on: April 22, 2008, 08:28:43 PM »
I wonder what happens in Allegheny.
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Verily
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« Reply #698 on: April 22, 2008, 08:28:50 PM »
Quote from: Evilmexicandictator on April 22, 2008, 08:28:00 PM
Philly keeps on going stronger for Obama as expected.

Like I said, white areas first (probably PA-13 as the others are talking about), black areas later. Obama will get around 65% in Philadelphia County in the end, I think, but I'm doing a pit of air-plucking there.
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J. J.
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« Reply #699 on: April 22, 2008, 08:29:14 PM »
Quote from: Evilmexicandictator on April 22, 2008, 08:28:00 PM
Philly keeps on going stronger for Obama as expected.

44% is in and she has 42%; that is very bad for Obama.
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