Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 53915 times)
yankeesfan
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« Reply #225 on: March 05, 2016, 04:36:19 PM »
Jeez, Predictit has Cruz higher than Trump in Kentucky.  Seems like an overreaction.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #226 on: March 05, 2016, 04:36:42 PM »
Hypothetical here how will it look in the media if Cruz sweeps all four states tonight
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The Free North
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« Reply #227 on: March 05, 2016, 04:37:54 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 04:36:42 PM
Hypothetical here how will it look in the media if Cruz sweeps all four states tonight

Trump collapsing more than Cruz is a winner.
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RI
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« Reply #228 on: March 05, 2016, 04:40:43 PM »
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politicallefty
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« Reply #229 on: March 05, 2016, 04:41:21 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 05, 2016, 04:35:51 PM
Looks like Cruz has won every county that has reported until now.
Hard to see how he loses.

There's nothing from KS-03 yet, from what I can see. I have to imagine that'll be his worst district in the state. Even so, I can't imagine it affecting the results too much. I think it'll at least pull Rubio up a bit, but I don't know the threshold for Kansas (not that that might necessarily save him).
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #230 on: March 05, 2016, 04:41:44 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 04:40:43 PM
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Which means he most likely won the state
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #231 on: March 05, 2016, 04:41:57 PM »
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Wow, so is Cruz really going to win Maine of all places?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #232 on: March 05, 2016, 04:43:35 PM »
Quote from: politicallefty on March 05, 2016, 04:41:21 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 05, 2016, 04:35:51 PM
Looks like Cruz has won every county that has reported until now.
Hard to see how he loses.

There's nothing from KS-03 yet, from what I can see. I have to imagine that'll be his worst district in the state. Even so, I can't imagine it affecting the results too much. I think it'll at least pull Rubio up a bit, but I don't know the threshold for Kansas (not that that might necessarily save him).

Sorry, I was referring to Maine.
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The Free North
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« Reply #233 on: March 05, 2016, 04:44:01 PM »
Ted Cruz winning in Louisville per CNN informal exit poll.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #234 on: March 05, 2016, 04:44:50 PM »
Trump would have to beat Cruz by more than 8% in the remaining vote to win Kansas.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #235 on: March 05, 2016, 04:45:14 PM »
Clear theory so far is that Carson dropping out has really helped Cruz.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #236 on: March 05, 2016, 04:45:18 PM »
CNN has Cruz winning in informal Louisville, KY exit poll
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The Free North
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« Reply #237 on: March 05, 2016, 04:45:39 PM »
Ted Cruz has won Lincoln County, Maine per twitter (https://mobile.twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/706230955241897985?p=v)


At this point, there have been unofficial reports of him winning almost half of the counties in Maine, including in Portland and Augusta. It is likely he will vastly over-perform there if not win it outright.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #238 on: March 05, 2016, 04:46:58 PM »
Cruz...
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #239 on: March 05, 2016, 04:47:49 PM »
This night is turning into lolpalooza
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #240 on: March 05, 2016, 04:47:59 PM »
Donald Trump makes members of his Orlando crowd raise their right hands and swear to vote in the primary.

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yankeesfan
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« Reply #241 on: March 05, 2016, 04:48:35 PM »
Nate Silver 4:38 PM

Assuming that Cruz goes on to win Kansas, where he leads by 23
percentage points with 18 percent of precincts reporting, then
Republicans in Middle America will be on the verge of forming an
anti-Trump wall. Minnesota (which went for Rubio), Iowa, Kansas,
Oklahoma and Texas would all have voted against Trump. If either
Missouri or Nebraska eventually does also, then a line of states
stretching from the Canadian to the Mexican border will have rejected
Trump for another candidate.
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #242 on: March 05, 2016, 04:49:53 PM »
What's up with no results whatsoever from CD3?  I'd expect at least a few precincts to have reported by now. 
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #243 on: March 05, 2016, 04:49:59 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on March 05, 2016, 04:48:35 PM
Nate Silver 4:38 PM

Assuming that Cruz goes on to win Kansas, where he leads by 23
percentage points with 18 percent of precincts reporting, then
Republicans in Middle America will be on the verge of forming an
anti-Trump wall. Minnesota (which went for Rubio), Iowa, Kansas,
Oklahoma and Texas would all have voted against Trump. If either
Missouri or Nebraska eventually does also, then a line of states
stretching from the Canadian to the Mexican border will have rejected
Trump for another candidate.

Yeah but Nevada
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cinyc
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« Reply #244 on: March 05, 2016, 04:50:10 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on March 05, 2016, 04:45:39 PM
Ted Cruz has won Lincoln County, Maine per twitter (https://mobile.twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/706230955241897985?p=v)


At this point, there have been unofficial reports of him winning almost half of the counties in Maine, including in Portland and Augusta. It is likely he will vastly over-perform there if not win it outright.

Lincoln County is very small, and there probably aren't a lot of votes there, but Romney won it in 2012.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #245 on: March 05, 2016, 04:50:41 PM »
Cruz seems to be doing roughly equally well in all three Kansas districts that have reported so far. This might mean that he'll win CD3 as well.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #246 on: March 05, 2016, 04:52:09 PM »
Cruzmentum?

And Kasich at 10% right now is good for him - he needs to continue to get that number because that's the delegate threshold for Kansas. If he does just that, it's a solid performance.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #247 on: March 05, 2016, 04:52:52 PM »
Predictions

Who wins each state tonight?
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The Free North
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« Reply #248 on: March 05, 2016, 04:53:09 PM »
Cruz wins Androscoggin County in ME...he likely wins the state.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #249 on: March 05, 2016, 04:53:22 PM »
CNN says Lewiston, Maine has Cruz winning 48%, Trump at 35%, Rubio at 9%.
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