CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Alabama_Indy10]

Gotten several texts from Levine's camp reminding me to vote, as well as an event invite from Gillum's team. No contact from the others.

I get like 3 emails a day from Levine...never gotten a single text, email, call, etc... from Graham. I'm guessing they just expect to win

the polling has really tightened up between Graham and Levine the last few weeks, it's a total toss up

at this point, the race in FL looks like a complete tossup, any of the top three candidates can win. It all depends on how this week stands.
Graham needs to maintain her lead.
Levine needs to pull off enough Greene voters.
Gillum needs to use his newfound money and endorsement to pound the airwaves and peel of Graham, Levine, and Greene voters.
The race is in a week from now, and its anyone's game.

Gillum is not going to win.

[Nyvin]

It still looks like Graham is leading.   Gillum doesn't seem to be competitive since he hasn't consolidated the AA vote like planned and Graham is more popular in the panhandle which should be his base.

I think the map will be very regional,  Levine's base will obviously be south Florida, Graham in Central/North Florida.    The combination of Levine being seen as a rich businessman and Graham running in a very pro-female environment will be enough to let Graham win.  

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results page - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/21/us/elections/results-wyoming-primary-elections.html

First polls close at 9 ET tonight.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mary Throne
734   78.5%   
Michael Green
122   13.0   
Rex Wilde
41   4.4   
Kenneth Casner
38   4.1   
935 votes, 4% reporting (18 of 482 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Senate
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
John Barrasso*
5,406   67.7%   
Dave Dodson
2,047   25.7   
John Holtz
220   2.8   
Charlie Hardy
162   2.0   
Roque De La Fuente
84   1.1   
Anthony Van Risseghem
61   0.8   
7,980 votes, 7% reporting (34 of 482 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 1
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Liz Cheney*
6,014   69.3%   
Rod Miller
1,657   19.1   
Blake Stanley
1,010   11.6   
8,681 votes, 6% reporting (27 of 482 precincts)

[IceSpear]

Barrasso lost Teton County!

Both Barrasso and Cheney are putting in pretty lukewarm performances so far.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Auditor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kristi Racines
17,465   56.7%   
Nathan Winters
13,328   43.3   
30,793 votes, 32% reporting (153 of 482 precincts)

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Barrasso lost Teton County!

Both Barrasso and Cheney are putting in pretty lukewarm performances so far.

Probably Ancestral Republicans who vote Democratic in more recent elections. Hillary Clinton won the County handily, but Republicans somehow produced way more votes in the County today.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mark Gordon
12,378   32.7%   
Foster Friess
9,886   26.1   
Harriet Hageman
7,936   21.0   
Sam Galeotos
5,071   13.4   
Taylor Haynes
1,774   4.7   
Bill Dahlin
770   2.0   
37,815 votes, 32% reporting (153 of 482 precincts)

[DINGO Joe]

It was Dodson's home county.

Looking like Gordon will win the GOP Guv race.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

U.S. House At-Large District »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Greg Hunter
3,266   59.6%   
Travis Helm
2,216   40.4   
5,482 votes, 38% reporting (182 of 482 precincts)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good to see Trump's preferred candidate in his number 1 most popular state (Wyoming) lose pathetically with like a quarter of the vote. It makes me feel better about the senate race in WV.

[Greedo punched first]

Good to see Trump's preferred candidate in his number 1 most popular state (Wyoming) lose pathetically with like a quarter of the vote. It makes me feel better about the senate race in WV.

Will Gordon win the gubernatorial primary?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Good to see Trump's preferred candidate in his number 1 most popular state (Wyoming) lose pathetically with like a quarter of the vote. It makes me feel better about the senate race in WV.

Will Gordon win the gubernatorial primary?

Yes

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good to see Trump's preferred candidate in his number 1 most popular state (Wyoming) lose pathetically with like a quarter of the vote. It makes me feel better about the senate race in WV.

Will Gordon win the gubernatorial primary?

Yes, I trust the Wulfric predictions most of the time.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Gordon is about the best we will get out of a state like Wyoming, and especially so because it is so reassuring and nice to see the Trump endorsed candidate lose.

[Badger]

Gordon is about the best we will get out of a state like Wyoming, and especially so because it is so reassuring and nice to see the Trump endorsed candidate lose.

[IceSpear]

To be fair, Trump only endorsed Freiss today, so the vast majority of voters probably didn't know about it. With that said, it serves him right that his guy lost for endorsing at the last minute yet still trying to take credit for the success of others.

[TheSaint250]

Yay for Gordon

[Devout Centrist]

Wow, terrible showing for Democrats in Wyoming. 13k votes vs 94k. Awful! The blue wave is OFFICIALLY dead.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Failing #NYTIMES has still not made very obvious calls on GOP-GOV, CD 1 D, and Auditor R. They should be ashamed of their lazy attitude.

[DINGO Joe]

I think AP forgot about the gov race as they haven't called it with 83% in.

[DINGO Joe]

The Failing #NYTIMES has still not made very obvious calls on GOP-GOV, CD 1 D, and Auditor R. They should be ashamed of their lazy attitude.

It is WY.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Failing #NYTIMES has still not made very obvious calls on GOP-GOV, CD 1 D, and Auditor R. They should be ashamed of their lazy attitude.

It is WY.

There's no excuse for it.