KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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  KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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Author Topic: KY, MS etc. Results Thread  (Read 47203 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #600 on: November 05, 2019, 09:26:22 PM »

Simonds just flipped VA-HD 94 over Yancey.  You might remember this as the infamous "drawing lots" seat from 2017.  
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Crumpets
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« Reply #601 on: November 05, 2019, 09:26:37 PM »

I will now accept my accolades:

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Cinemark
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« Reply #602 on: November 05, 2019, 09:26:49 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

To quote Klobuchar:

"Every Race, Every Place"

Not a bad thing to contest races everywhere.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #603 on: November 05, 2019, 09:28:19 PM »

Hard not to imagine the Libertarian vote cost the GOP the seat.

But Andy Beshear is a MASTER of close elections.
The Rick Scott of Kentucky.
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Computer89
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« Reply #604 on: November 05, 2019, 09:28:48 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

To quote Klobuchar:

"Every Race, Every Place"

Not a bad thing to contest races everywhere.

Gubernatorial races are very different than Senate races, as it will be much more dominated by national issues and also unlike this election will be held during a Presidential year
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #605 on: November 05, 2019, 09:28:55 PM »

Did Beshear underperform in Kenton and Campbell or are those narrow victories good results for him?

Relative to the past, Beshear BTFOed Bevin in Kenton and Campbell. This is ancestrally Republican suburbia. Bevin 2015 and Trump both won them by double digits.

For comparisons sake:

Boone County: Bevin +35 in 2015, Bevin +15 in 2019 (Trump +41)
Kenton: Bevin +18 in 2015, Beshear +1 now (Trump +26)
Campbell: Bevin +13 in 2015, Beshear +5 now (Trump +24)
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emailking
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« Reply #606 on: November 05, 2019, 09:29:03 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

That'll force him to moderate though. Even if he doesn't need to, he will.
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Horus
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« Reply #607 on: November 05, 2019, 09:29:21 PM »

If Hood wins this will low key be better than election night last year.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #608 on: November 05, 2019, 09:29:57 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

To quote Klobuchar:

"Every Race, Every Place"

Not a bad thing to contest races everywhere.

Gubernatorial races are very different than Senate races, as it will be much more dominated by national issues and also unlike this election will be held during a Presidential year

I get that, but i think its better to contest elections instead of surrendering to huge blowouts.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #609 on: November 05, 2019, 09:30:38 PM »


Even closer than his 2015 race, if I am not mistaken. Of course, I wouldn't be surprised if some try to undermine the joy over Beshear's victory by emphasizing this. The fact that he managed to win at all, when most people didn't think he had a chance, and in a state that voted for Trump by 30%, is astounding.

The defense I'm hearing is "Kentucky always elects Democrat governors, relax!"

If this were true, Bevin wouldn't even be in office, and neither would have Ernie Fletcher. But I can get it. Though Kentucky will go in a landslide for Trump last year, this race does tell me that polarization hasn't completely doomed the Democrats here. Elliott County in particular, voted for every statewide Democrat tonight, even for Conway and Bowman, who both lost by more than 20 percentage points (according to NYT). It looks like Elliott will remain Democratic at the downballot level for the foreseeable future, though Trump will win it easily next year.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #610 on: November 05, 2019, 09:30:51 PM »


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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #611 on: November 05, 2019, 09:31:35 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

That'll force him to moderate though.

Nah, it won’t. It will only force him to take his race more seriously, which isn’t going to help Democrats.
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Pericles
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« Reply #612 on: November 05, 2019, 09:32:53 PM »

The only bad thing about this win in KY is now a lot liberal are going to waste money against McConnell.

That'll force him to moderate though.

Nah, it won’t. It will only force him to take his race more seriously, which isn’t going to help Democrats.

Eh if McConnell hoards cash then perhaps that could mean a bit less for other Republicans in more competitive races.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #613 on: November 05, 2019, 09:33:23 PM »

So much for that impeachment backlash.
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« Reply #614 on: November 05, 2019, 09:34:09 PM »

DeSoto mostly in in Mississippi (35 of 41). It was 65-31 for Trump and Reeves leads 59-39.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #615 on: November 05, 2019, 09:34:26 PM »

Theres a few counties still not at 100% that are heavily Bevin, but i cant imagine it netting him more than a few hundred votes. I think Beshear's lead is safe.
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Skunk
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« Reply #616 on: November 05, 2019, 09:34:44 PM »

Kentucky Democrats and populists across the nation have lost No Nut November tonight.
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Roblox
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« Reply #617 on: November 05, 2019, 09:34:51 PM »

Well, looks like I was epically wrong about Kentucky! Time to happily eat crow!
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #618 on: November 05, 2019, 09:35:02 PM »


And so much for that Trump rally.
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Gracile
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« Reply #619 on: November 05, 2019, 09:36:04 PM »

We can make the world's largest omelet with all the egg people have on their faces right now.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #620 on: November 05, 2019, 09:37:26 PM »

Theres a few counties still not at 100% that are heavily Bevin, but i cant imagine it netting him more than a few hundred votes. I think Beshear's lead is safe.

Likewise I imagine there are an even larger number of provisionals that will be counted in the coming days, which should lean in Beshear's favor.
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Badger
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« Reply #621 on: November 05, 2019, 09:38:14 PM »

Republicans have lost these elections. Even if the GOP wins MS and LA, it's over. This is going to hurt President's Trump's re-election, makes me very sad Sad

I don't think so. Bevin was unpopular.

Wasn't the attorney general's race close as well, even though the Republican squeaked it out?
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Harry
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« Reply #622 on: November 05, 2019, 09:39:08 PM »

DeSoto mostly in in Mississippi (35 of 41). It was 65-31 for Trump and Reeves leads 59-39.

There aren't any complete counties yet, but it looks like Reeves is running about 5 points behind Trump in the ones that are over half in. He'll probably win unless there is something unusual about black turnout, or the rural NE MS whites come out for Hood in a way that isn't apparent yet.
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Pericles
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« Reply #623 on: November 05, 2019, 09:39:12 PM »

Republicans have lost these elections. Even if the GOP wins MS and LA, it's over. This is going to hurt President's Trump's re-election, makes me very sad Sad

I don't think so. Bevin was unpopular.

Wasn't the attorney general's race close as well, even though the Republican squeaked it out?

Secretary of State, but yes.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #624 on: November 05, 2019, 09:39:24 PM »

Republicans have lost these elections. Even if the GOP wins MS and LA, it's over. This is going to hurt President's Trump's re-election, makes me very sad Sad

I don't think so. Bevin was unpopular.

Wasn't the attorney general's race close as well, even though the Republican squeaked it out?

Not even close. Cameron won in a landslide, and beat Stumbo by 14%, 57-43%, according to NYT.
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