Israeli General Election 2013

[Vosem]

have they had a total meltdown

Indeed they have. However, from what I understand most polls continue to show them just barely passing the threshold and getting 2 seats (thereby tying the 1993 PC showing in Canada). Not passing the threshold seems to be unlikely but a definite possibility (same goes for Atzmaut, while Strong Israel seems to have the opposite predicament of most polls showing it below the threshold but some showing it getting seats).

[Zanas]

Also, the National Union has chosen its list, which will be merged with the Jewish Home:

1) Uri Ariel (Current MK, age 59, father of 6).

2) Rabbi Eli Ben Dahan (age 58, father of 9).

3) Zevulun Calpa (age 50, father of 6).

4) Orit Struk (age 52, mother of 11).

5) hillel Horovitz (age 48, father of 9)

6) Nochi Eyal (age 50 father of 7)

Well that's a crowded Home...

[danny]

Also, the National Union has chosen its list, which will be merged with the Jewish Home:

1) Uri Ariel (Current MK, age 59, father of 6).

2) Rabbi Eli Ben Dahan (age 58, father of 9).

3) Zevulun Calpa (age 50, father of 6).

4) Orit Struk (age 52, mother of 11).

5) hillel Horovitz (age 48, father of 9)

6) Nochi Eyal (age 50 father of 7)

Well that's a crowded Home...

Yes, but not quite as much as Eichler from the UTJ with 14 children.

[danny]

A post cease fire poll:

Do you support or oppose the cease fire agreement between Israel and Hamas?
support: 32%
oppose: 60%
don't know: 8%

Amongst those living within 40KM of Gaza:
support: 21%
oppose: 71%
don't know: 8%

Likud Beitenu: 33
Labour: 24
JH-NU: 13
Yesh Atid: 11
Shas: 10
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 6
Otzma Leisrael: 4
RAAM-TAAL: 4
Am Shalem: 3
Hadash: 3
Balad: 3

(Kadima and Independence don't pass the 2% threshold).

Overall, bad news for Bibi.

[jaichind]

I am very surprised by the revival of the Labor party in Irsael looking at the latest polls.  Equally surprising is the fall of Kadima

[hawkeye59]

Any chance of a Likud Beitenu-Labor-Yesh Atid coalition? By that I mean, any chance of a government formed without an ultra-orthodox party in the coalition?

[danny]

Any chance of a Likud Beitenu-Labor-Yesh Atid coalition? By that I mean, any chance of a government formed without an ultra-orthodox party in the coalition?

A chance, maybe, but don't count on it.

[danny]

Already enjoying the campaign videos.

Here is one from Zeev Elkin for the Likud primaries on Sunday:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XU_4PPbZTP4

[Kitteh]

Seems like Bibi has himself in a tough spot here. That 32% of Israelis who support the ceasefire are probably not ones who would ever vote Likud. Is there any chance that he loses the Likud primary now?

[danny]

Seems like Bibi has himself in a tough spot here. That 32% of Israelis who support the ceasefire are probably not ones who would ever vote Likud. Is there any chance that he loses the Likud primary now?

The leadership primaries was months ago, the Sunday elections is for the list, I.E number 2 onwards.

[ag]

Any chance of a Likud Beitenu-Labor-Yesh Atid coalition? By that I mean, any chance of a government formed without an ultra-orthodox party in the coalition?

Why would Labor want to commit a post-resurrection suicide?

[RogueBeaver]

Barak is retiring.

http://www.timesofisrael.com/barak-to-make-announcement-on-political-future-may-be-leaving-post/

[danny]

The Likud primaries are over, results should be coming in soon.

[danny]

Results are in, and the the more left wing of the Likud MK's are out, while Feiglin is in. of the Kadima refugees, only Hanegbi made it. Of the ministers, Meridor, Eitan, Begin and Dichter are out.

One of the big stories was the large union influence on the vote, and everyone was trying to get on the lists of the unions, and specifically the aeronautics workers union, led by MK Katz, and their thousands of votes.

[Vosem]

Results are in, and the the more left wing of the Likud MK's are out, while Feiglin is in. of the Kadima refugees, only Hanegbi made it. Of the ministers, Meridor, Eitan, Begin and Dichter are out.

One of the big stories was the large union influence on the vote, and everyone was trying to get on the lists of the unions, and specifically the aeronautics workers union, led by MK Katz, and their thousands of votes.

Where could I find the full list, up until at least the twenties? Keep in mind I speak completely fluent Russian (but not Henrew), so a source in that language would be perfectly fine.

[danny]

Results are in, and the the more left wing of the Likud MK's are out, while Feiglin is in. of the Kadima refugees, only Hanegbi made it. Of the ministers, Meridor, Eitan, Begin and Dichter are out.

One of the big stories was the large union influence on the vote, and everyone was trying to get on the lists of the unions, and specifically the aeronautics workers union, led by MK Katz, and their thousands of votes.

Where could I find the full list, up until at least the twenties? Keep in mind I speak completely fluent Russian (but not Henrew), so a source in that language would be perfectly fine.

Up to 20

21) David Bitan
22) Uri Farj
23) Katy sheetrit
24) Ayub Kara
25) Shuki Ohana
26) David Amsalem
27) Yitzhak Danino
28) Keren Barak
29) Avraham Nagosa
30) David Even Tzur
31) Shay Keinan
32) Avraham Simchon
33) Nurit Koren
34) Moshe Ben Zaken

[Kitteh]

Kinda funny to see union support being pivotal in a primary for the largest centre-right party . But of course class voting patterns in Israel are totally different from the rest of the western world.

[ag]

Kinda funny to see union support being pivotal in a primary for the largest centre-right party . But of course class voting patterns in Israel are totally different from the rest of the western world.

Corrected

[Zanas]

Results are in, and the more left wing of the Likud

The idea of this is somehow hilarious.

[danny]

Livni has officially announced her new party, and she has given it the most bland generic name possible: "The Movement". No official word yet on whom else will be part of this party.

[RedPrometheus]

Livni has officially announced her new party, and she has given it the most bland generic name possible: "The Movement". No official word yet on whom else will be part of this party.

I assume this will cause more even more of a fragmentation of the Left-wing?

[danny]

Livni has officially announced her new party, and she has given it the most bland generic name possible: "The Movement". No official word yet on whom else will be part of this party.

I assume this will cause more even more of a fragmentation of the Left-wing?

Certainly, this should mostly hurt Lapid, but also Labour and Meretz somewhat.

[danny]

New poll by channel 10:

Likud Beitenu: 37
Labour: 20
Shas: 14
JH-NU: 9
Livni: 9
UTJ: 6
Yesh Atid: 5
Am Shalem: 4
Meretz: 3
Kadima: 2
"Arab parties": 11

[Iannis]

New poll by channel 10:

Likud Beitenu: 37
Labour: 20
Shas: 14
JH-NU: 9
Livni: 9
UTJ: 6
Yesh Atid: 5
Am Shalem: 4
Meretz: 3
Kadima: 2
"Arab parties": 11

Would it be possible a cohoperation between Likud, Kadima, Livni, Yesh Atid, Am Shalem? Now they have 57 seats, with some luck they could have 61.

[danny]

New poll by channel 10:

Likud Beitenu: 37
Labour: 20
Shas: 14
JH-NU: 9
Livni: 9
UTJ: 6
Yesh Atid: 5
Am Shalem: 4
Meretz: 3
Kadima: 2
"Arab parties": 11

Would it be possible a cohoperation between Likud, Kadima, Livni, Yesh Atid, Am Shalem? Now they have 57 seats, with some luck they could have 61.

If these parties make it to 61 MK's it is possible, but Livni would have to accept being willing to be part of Bibi's coalition. Also Bibi would rather have more than the bare minimum, and JH-NU has a good chance of being a part of the coalition.