Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2013, 03:59:13 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  General Politics
| |-+  International General Discussion (Moderators: Peter, afleitch)
| | |-+  UK Opinion Polls Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 Print
Author Topic: UK Opinion Polls Thread  (Read 40626 times)
crypto-fascist superhero
wormyguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7815
Liechtenstein


Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: -7.65

View Profile
« Reply #500 on: April 18, 2012, 04:42:48 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Robot Rominee on April 18, 2012, 04:24:51 pm
Quote from: food justice on April 18, 2012, 04:19:44 pm
Shouldn't they put Farage in that poll now?

One would think, but it'd mess up comparisons with past polls.

He'd definitely poll above Clegg, and would probably have an outside chance of making second...
Logged


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WV6Bq8xeQrU
Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #501 on: April 18, 2012, 04:44:41 pm »
Ignore
But since UKIP haven't won any seats yet, let's not run away with ourselves, eh?
« Last Edit: April 18, 2012, 04:48:36 pm by Leftbehind »Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #502 on: April 18, 2012, 04:50:07 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: food justice on April 18, 2012, 04:42:48 pm
Quote from: Robot Rominee on April 18, 2012, 04:24:51 pm
Quote from: food justice on April 18, 2012, 04:19:44 pm
Shouldn't they put Farage in that poll now?

One would think, but it'd mess up comparisons with past polls.

He'd definitely poll above Clegg, and would probably have an outside chance of making second...

He'd probably tie with Clegg and he'd be nowhere near second. Barely anyone know who Nigel Farage is would only be a minor reason for that.
Logged

afleitch
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20130


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -8.17

View Profile
« Reply #503 on: April 18, 2012, 04:52:33 pm »
Quote from: Leftbehind on April 18, 2012, 04:44:41 pm
But since UKIP haven't won any seats yet, let's not run away with ourselves, eh?

Worth noting that on a forced choice question, Labour's lead with YouGov would be cut to 4. The UKIP protest in opinion polls is something we've seen in the past and usually dissapates. I'm not worried given we still have 3 years left to go.
Logged
All hail the mighty Apollon, god of the sun
YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 736
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -6.70


View Profile
« Reply #504 on: April 19, 2012, 04:16:01 pm »
Ignore
Presumably a bit of an outlier, but tonight's YouGov has Labour on 45%, 13 points ahead of the Tories.  Lib Dem retention is down to 29% (there's going to be a large margin of error on that, though).

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/21o4h4zdaz/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-190412.pdf
Logged
Somewhat reluctant Labour supporter
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #505 on: April 20, 2012, 03:46:20 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: YL on April 19, 2012, 04:16:01 pm
Presumably a bit of an outlier, but tonight's YouGov has Labour on 45%, 13 points ahead of the Tories.  Lib Dem retention is down to 29% (there's going to be a large margin of error on that, though).

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/21o4h4zdaz/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-190412.pdf

But Ed's not doing well enough. Roll Eyes
« Last Edit: April 20, 2012, 03:53:35 pm by Robot Rominee »Logged

You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #506 on: April 23, 2012, 01:50:54 pm »
Ignore
Labour take an 8% lead with ICM (!!!!)!

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/5223

Political Betting must be in uproar, given the gold standard's getting YouGov style leads.
Logged

Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #507 on: April 23, 2012, 05:18:10 pm »
Ignore
Speaking of which, another record 13% lead.
Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #508 on: April 28, 2012, 05:09:33 pm »
Ignore
YouGov.

40-29-10-10

29! Never thought i'd see the day.
Logged

afleitch
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20130


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -8.17

View Profile
« Reply #509 on: April 28, 2012, 05:47:15 pm »
Populus has a 5 point gap.
Logged
All hail the mighty Apollon, god of the sun
Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #510 on: April 28, 2012, 08:47:59 pm »
Ignore
Do you mean ComRes? Populus' last poll had a 9 point gap.

YG - their lowest Tory figure & highest UKIP figure.

Interesting that there's still 10% for Others with UKIP removed.
Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #511 on: April 29, 2012, 07:07:26 am »
Ignore
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/bkmm9p70rl/YG-Archives-Pol-SundayTimes-results-27-290412.pdf

Diabolical numbers for the blues in there. This double-dip's done them no good, obviously. The gap on net approvals between Cam/Mili has narrowed from a 23% "lead" for Dave, to just 7%. Ed'll soon be the least hated. Peter Kellner saying that only comparable collapse was for Gordon Brown when he flunked the election that never was.

32% blame the Tory-Liberal cuts, compared to 17% who blame Brown Labour. Stick a fork in them, they're done.
« Last Edit: April 29, 2012, 07:14:57 am by Le changement! C'est maintenant! »Logged

Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14739
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #512 on: April 29, 2012, 08:07:33 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Le changement! C'est maintenant! on April 29, 2012, 07:07:26 am
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/bkmm9p70rl/YG-Archives-Pol-SundayTimes-results-27-290412.pdf

Diabolical numbers for the blues in there. This double-dip's done them no good, obviously. The gap on net approvals between Cam/Mili has narrowed from a 23% "lead" for Dave, to just 7%. Ed'll soon be the least hated. Peter Kellner saying that only comparable collapse was for Gordon Brown when he flunked the election that never was.

32% blame the Tory-Liberal cuts, compared to 17% who blame Brown Labour. Stick a fork in them, they're done.

The one thing I'd say that is on the Coalition's side is time. Much could happen for better Smiley  or worse Sad  between now and May 2015

Am I better off than I was two years ago? Yes (nothing to do with the government) and no (much to do with the government)
Logged
Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #513 on: May 01, 2012, 04:03:00 pm »
Ignore
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/aial8f44t2/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-010512.pdf

1.5% swing to the Tories in 15 years. Wink
Logged

Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14739
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #514 on: May 02, 2012, 07:42:49 am »
Ignore
YouGov Welsh poll:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-17906118

Topline voting intention figures are as follows:

Westminster (change since 2010 GE): CON 23% (-3), LAB 50% (+14), LD 7% (-13), PC 12%(+1)
Welsh Assembly constituency (change since 2011): CON 19% (-6), LAB 48% (+6), LD 7% (-4), PC 18% (-1)
Welsh Assembly regional (change since 2011): CON 13% (-10), LAB 33% (-4), LD 9% (+1), PC 22% (+4)
Local elections (change since 2008): CON 17% (+1), LAB 48% (+21); LD 7% (-6); PC 14% (-3); Independents and Others 15% (-12)
Logged
Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56586
Vatican City State


View Profile
« Reply #515 on: May 02, 2012, 07:53:59 am »
Ignore
23% other in the list vote?
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53015
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #516 on: May 02, 2012, 07:55:56 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Minion of Midas on May 02, 2012, 07:53:59 am
23% other in the list vote?

Er... alcohol?
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #517 on: May 03, 2012, 02:03:19 am »
Ignore
As mentioned in another thread, 10% UKIP and 9% GRN. Smiley
Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #518 on: May 03, 2012, 10:23:26 am »
Ignore
Any Scotland/Wales poll which has such a disapparity between constituency and regional can surely be written off, right?
Logged

Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #519 on: May 03, 2012, 02:11:22 pm »
Ignore
Depends if you believe Con & Lab voters wouldn't vote elsewhere in a substantive amount when given the opportunity?
Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53015
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #520 on: May 03, 2012, 02:13:59 pm »
Ignore
It's more that people don't entirely understand what the regional ballot is for, so sometimes you see odd numbers.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #521 on: May 06, 2012, 05:54:08 am »
Ignore
This weekend's YouGov, not much of it was taken after the election results.

43 - 31 - 9 (UKIP on 8%)

David Cameron approval (his lowest yet)
31 (-1) / 62 (-1)

Ed Miliband approval
27 (nc) / 60 (-5)

Nick Clegg (his lowest too)
17 (-3) / 74 (+1)

Gets worrying for Dave if Ed Miliband starts looking like the least ugly sister, right?

Labour've also taken the lead on the "Which would you prefer to see after the next election?" question, last asked in January.
A Tory government led by David Cameron 36 (-5)
A Labour government led by Ed Miliband 42 (+8)
« Last Edit: May 06, 2012, 06:06:47 am by Le changement! C'est maintenant! »Logged

I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2931
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #522 on: May 07, 2012, 12:20:51 am »
Ignore
How come Milliband's approvals are so crap?
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8040
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #523 on: May 07, 2012, 04:41:36 am »
Ignore
Quote from: morgieb on May 07, 2012, 12:20:51 am
How come Milliband's approvals are so crap?

He's hasn't got a good raport with the public and there's still hate towards the last government. We're very much in "plague on all your houses" territory.
Logged

Leftbehind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1607
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #524 on: May 09, 2012, 04:42:42 pm »
Ignore
He has neither the policies nor the personality to enthuse his supporters, so only receives a lukewarm backing from them, with the unfortunate mantle of being hated by two sets of parties supporters for his attacks on them as pretty much the sole opposition.

Yougov (again) & TNS-BRMB have 13% Labour leads tonight. Also a government approval graph:

Logged
E: -8.26 S: -3.3
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory