NATIONAL GOVERNOR/OTHER RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Eraserhead]

CT GOV is probably headed to court.

[Eraserhead]

Haley performed so, so badly.

[Lief 🗽]

Haley performed so, so badly.

We should have spent the money we wasted in RI on SC. Could have won that race...

[Hash]

Brian Dubie has conceded to Peter Shumlin in Vermont.

yessssssssssssssssssssss!

Long live that great state.

[Hash]

Haley performed so, so badly.

In a 2006-like year, she'd have lost.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Based on the New York Times website :


Maine LePage leads by 1.3%, with 93% reporting. I think it's pretty safe.

Vermont Shumlin leads by 1.5%, with 90% reporting. The lead appears pretty strong there, too.

Connecticut Malloy leads by 0.17%, with 92% reporting. This one looks like a pure tossup, with many votes in New Haven (Malloy) and Fairfield (Foley) yet to be counted.

Florida Scott leads by 1%, with 99% reporting. It could as well be already called, as Sink would need to win almost all votes yet to count.

Illinois Quinn leads by 0,23%, with 99% reporting. Nothing is sure, but Quinn is a clear favorite, all the more that the remaining votes come from Cook county.

Minnesota Dayton leads by 0.5%, with 99% reporting. Once again, it would be pretty hard for Emmer to win there. The last votes to be counted come from Aitkin (Dayton) and Martin (Emmer) counties

Oregon Dudley leads by 1.3%, with 93% reporting. I'd expect Kitzhaber to gain some ground (as only 73% of Multnomah county's votes have been counted), but it would be hard for him to overcome such lead.

For a reason I don't understand, Alaska and Hawaii still haven't been called, despite Parnell and abrecrombie are both mathematically elected.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well there's going to be a mandatory recount. Dayton's lead is far larger than the margin in 2008, so it's unlikely it'll get to that level, but it'll happen regardless.

FYI the constitution states that if it can't be resolved in time like in 2008, Pawlenty stays as Governor until it's done (ugh). However I won't worry too much about that as Pawlenty probably doesn't want that to happen more than anyone else out there.

[big bad fab]

What would have been the problem if Maes was under 10% ?

[Eraserhead]

Haley performed so, so badly.

We should have spent the money we wasted in RI on SC. Could have won that race...

Quite possibily. The really funny thing is that everyone dismissed those Democratic internal polls that kept coming out on the race and they turned to be right.

[Mr.Phips]

If current trends hold, Kitzhaber will pull ahead by 8,000 votes in the end. 

[Lunar]

Malloy won in ct!!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This reminds me of the 2002 governor's race in Oregon.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Maine, Vermont, and Florida have been conceded by the second-place finishers.

[Antonio the Sixth]

NYT has called Florida and Hawaii, and now has Foley ahead.

[Badger]

The votes left in Florida to count are less than Scott's margin (or almost there), so he will win by a margin beyond lawsuit potential. That means the Pubbies can gerrymander the sh*t out of the state, like last time, which is the major national significance of this race to my mind. Scott in totals tracked Rubio pretty closely, suggesting that if Crist had been a moderate Dem from day one as governor, he might have run a skin tight race against Rubio.

I wish.  Even though Scott is (maybe, appears) victorious and Republicans obtained veto proof majorities in both the state house and senate, the fair districting amendment passed.  Unless Republicans can come up with a way to keep it from going into effect, the Republican state domination days are over.

And yes, Republicans tried to get the amendments kicked off the ballot before the election.  I wonder what argument they could use now to keep them from going into effect.

I'm assuming you voted against that garbage.

You better believe I voted no on both of them.  Yeah 'fair districts' sponsored by a ton of northeastern unions and out of state liberal special interest groups.  Talk about a hidden power grab.

And Badger, stop being self righteous.  Gerrymandering has always been a part of this country.  I don't complain about the gerrymandered districts in California or Massachusetts.  To the victor goes the spoils that's what I say.  The pure pure swing states can worry about switching between conservative and liberal gerrymandering schemes every 10 years.  Really if you think about it, the liberal and conservative gerrymanders balance themselves out while the dominant party has a substantial, but not insurmountable, advantage.

"Gerrymandering has always been a part of this country"? That's really your justification?? Like vote fraud, influence peddling, poll taxes (though I assume you and States probably miss those), these are not exactly good parts of our electoral history either. These are not things we should want to continue, let alone admire.

But hey, a fairly representative democracy here isn't your goal, is it? After all, "To the victor goes the spoils"? So simply you're upset the FL GOP can't stack the deck to ensure it gets more representatives despite earning fewer voters. At least though you're completely up front about being unapologetically evil. Kudos!

Speaking of which...

And Badger, stop being self righteous. 

Sky, stop being blue!

Southern CW reenactors, stop being racist asshats!

[Sarnstrom]

Yep the AP has called the Connecticut race for Dan Malloy.

[Mr.Phips]

Is a big Democratic city still out in Connecticut?  Foley still leads by around 5,000 votes. 

[rob in cal]

IIRC, when a new party wins over 50k votes for Governor in New York, they are ballot qualified for the next election, and then have power to cross endorse (fusion voting) candidates from other parties.  Looks like the New York Greens pulled it off, and Libertarians almost did.

[GMantis]

They have now also called Vermont for Shumlin.

[Dan the Roman]

You must be thrilled, more Republicans that won't vote for gay marriage. But it is the Democrats fault.

Yes, because clearly, if Rhode Island can't pass gay marriage, it must be the fault of the Republican superminority.

Does it really drive you that crazy that I prefer a two-party system?

It less Rhode Island and more whats going to happen in Maine and New Hampshire. Both will have constitutional bans on gay marriage on the ballot within the year. Which in the case of NH was completely foreseeable given who makes up the NH GOP these days.

[Јas]

OR-GOV:
Dudley +14,668 (49.2% v 48.1%), 91% reporting

Multnomah 73% reporting.

OR-GOV:
Dudley +14,556 (49.2% v 48.1%), 96% reporting

Multnomah 77% reporting - I think all other counties are now in.

On simple extrapolation of current Multnomah figures, Kitzhaber should overturn the current deficit. But then such extrapolations are presumably quite unwise to wager on.

[Јas]

Considered putting this in its own thread, but not sure on whether that would fall within/without the rules. Not actually sure that this hasn't been noted yet either, anyway...

In Iowa, Voters Oust Judges Over Marriage Issue - New York Times

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[Franzl]

The "retention system" is obviously better than competitive elections....or even worse....partisan competitive elections, but this case shows what really shouldn't be happening.

People fired the judges because they don't like gay marriage....not because they know or care about the law.

[Јas]

What would have been the problem if Maes was under 10% ?

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=127118.0

[Lunar]

Whew.  Illinois was my #1 race I was most invested in as a few of you may know, and we won by a squeaker while the Dems got slaughtered in the federal races across the great state.

Brady doesn't have the votes guys.  This one is done imo.