2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[_]

Rematch underway:

https://twitter.com/Marie4Congress/status/1118129266179366913

Guess who (unsurprisingly) endorsed her:

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1118319418453438465

Go Lipinski

Ehh, I guess House Dems have now blacklisted Kirsten Gillibrand  (not that it would help or hurt her in any way)

They would blacklist her.........for Lipinski?

Bustos says Dems can't work against incumbents

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rep. Lucy McBath (GA-06) turned down a $2k contribution from Rep. Ilhan Omar:

Up in D.C., the conservative Free Beacon has pointed to a $2,000 campaign contribution that U.S. Rep. Illhan Omar, D-Minn., reported making to fellow freshman Democrat Lucy McBath of Marietta.The website noted that McBath did not report the contribution – which is true. The McBath campaign told us this morning that the contribution was not accepted.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-peachtree-city-ordinance-would-permit-libel-suits-against-critics/K4Xt15TUWCG9MaUAr5FmCN/

Probably a smart move.  The district has a substantial Jewish population.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Rep. Lucy McBath (GA-06) turned down a $2k contribution from Rep. Ilhan Omar:

Up in D.C., the conservative Free Beacon has pointed to a $2,000 campaign contribution that U.S. Rep. Illhan Omar, D-Minn., reported making to fellow freshman Democrat Lucy McBath of Marietta.The website noted that McBath did not report the contribution – which is true. The McBath campaign told us this morning that the contribution was not accepted.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-peachtree-city-ordinance-would-permit-libel-suits-against-critics/K4Xt15TUWCG9MaUAr5FmCN/

Probably a smart move.  The district has a substantial Jewish population.

Glorious news!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Rep. Lucy McBath (GA-06) turned down a $2k contribution from Rep. Ilhan Omar:

Up in D.C., the conservative Free Beacon has pointed to a $2,000 campaign contribution that U.S. Rep. Illhan Omar, D-Minn., reported making to fellow freshman Democrat Lucy McBath of Marietta.The website noted that McBath did not report the contribution – which is true. The McBath campaign told us this morning that the contribution was not accepted.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-peachtree-city-ordinance-would-permit-libel-suits-against-critics/K4Xt15TUWCG9MaUAr5FmCN/

Probably a smart move.  The district has a substantial Jewish population.

Glorious news!

Contrary take: Accepting a political contribution from someone you dislike and want nothing to do with does not inherently make it such that you are supporting or endorsing anything about or related to them.

[Horus]

McBath knows her district.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/04/16/pierce-bush-grandson-george-hw-bush-may-run-congress-houston/amp/


Can the Bushes win back a district that just swung like 25 points left in 6 years?

I think the answer is no

Funfact in 1976/1980 this district had the most republican PVI in the nation.

Can you please provide a source here?

[lfromnj]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/04/16/pierce-bush-grandson-george-hw-bush-may-run-congress-houston/amp/


Can the Bushes win back a district that just swung like 25 points left in 6 years?

I think the answer is no

Funfact in 1976/1980 this district had the most republican PVI in the nation.

Can you please provide a source here?

I 100% remember reading it on a twitter map of PVI of 1976 and 1980 but I looked through the people I remember and can't find it. It does make sense though as this was meant to be a R sink district.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Rep. Lucy McBath (GA-06) turned down a $2k contribution from Rep. Ilhan Omar:

Up in D.C., the conservative Free Beacon has pointed to a $2,000 campaign contribution that U.S. Rep. Illhan Omar, D-Minn., reported making to fellow freshman Democrat Lucy McBath of Marietta.The website noted that McBath did not report the contribution – which is true. The McBath campaign told us this morning that the contribution was not accepted.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/the-jolt-peachtree-city-ordinance-would-permit-libel-suits-against-critics/K4Xt15TUWCG9MaUAr5FmCN/

Probably a smart move.  The district has a substantial Jewish population.

Glorious news!

Contrary take: Accepting a political contribution from someone you dislike and want nothing to do with does not inherently make it such that you are supporting or endorsing anything about or related to them.

Try to explain that to Joe Sixpack when the 30sec attack ad comes that accuses you of bro-fisting an anti-semite terrorist sympathizer. 

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/04/16/pierce-bush-grandson-george-hw-bush-may-run-congress-houston/amp/


Can the Bushes win back a district that just swung like 25 points left in 6 years?

I think the answer is no

Funfact in 1976/1980 this district had the most republican PVI in the nation.

Depends on why it swung that way , if it’s cause of Trump then the answer very much could be yes in 2022(If a a Democrat is President)

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/04/16/pierce-bush-grandson-george-hw-bush-may-run-congress-houston/amp/


Can the Bushes win back a district that just swung like 25 points left in 6 years?

I think the answer is no

Funfact in 1976/1980 this district had the most republican PVI in the nation.

Depends on why it swung that way , if it’s cause of Trump then the answer very much could be yes in 2022(If a a Democrat is President)

Wrong.

[lfromnj]

https://www.rollcall.com/news/republicans-identify-vulnerable-members-for-2020

NRCC patriot program. Weirdly enough Kenny Marchant isn't on here.

This either signals to me that Tom Emmer is extremely stupid or Marchant is retiring.

[Young Conservative]

https://www.rollcall.com/news/republicans-identify-vulnerable-members-for-2020

NRCC patriot program. Weirdly enough Kenny Marchant isn't on here.

This either signals to me that Tom Emmer is extremely stupid or Marchant is retiring.

Its definitely the second one.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Why are they wasting money on Herrera? This is bordering on Safe R, many of the counties in this district that Cantwell won in 2012(she won by a similar margin in 2018) voted for Hutchinson in a D+9 year despite dems tirelessly contesting it. It's GONE

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://www.rollcall.com/news/republicans-identify-vulnerable-members-for-2020

NRCC patriot program. Weirdly enough Kenny Marchant isn't on here.

This either signals to me that Tom Emmer is extremely stupid or Marchant is retiring.

Or both

[lfromnj]

Why are they wasting money on Herrera? This is bordering on Safe R, many of the counties in this district that Cantwell won in 2012(she won by a similar margin in 2018) voted for Hutchinson in a D+9 year despite dems tirelessly contesting it. It's GONE

well 2/3 of the population lives in Clark county which had no swing from 2012 to 2016 and is trending D. Anyway the real reason that they are making JBh in the patriot program is because they don't want the number of women they have to drop lower.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Why are they wasting money on Herrera? This is bordering on Safe R, many of the counties in this district that Cantwell won in 2012(she won by a similar margin in 2018) voted for Hutchinson in a D+9 year despite dems tirelessly contesting it. It's GONE

well 2/3 of the population lives in Clark county which had no swing from 2012 to 2016 and is trending D. Anyway the real reason that they are making JBh in the patriot program is because they don't want the number of women they have to drop lower.

The number of Republican women currently in the US House is currently tied with a historic low from many decades ago.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Former Home Depot exec Lynne Homrich is the first Republican to file in GA-07.  There are currently four Democrats in the race.

[Young Conservative]

Former Home Depot exec Lynne Homrich is the first Republican to file in GA-07.  There are currently four Democrats in the race.

Lots of GOP women running in 2020...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Former Home Depot exec Lynne Homrich is the first Republican to file in GA-07.  There are currently four Democrats in the race.

Lots of GOP women running in 2020...

Including the first korean american woman immigrant congresswoman

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

[S019]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

Likely D————->Tilt D

Our recruitment is much better this cycle, but it’s coming from the wrong places

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

Likely Safe D————->Tilt Likely D

Our recruitment is much better this cycle, but it’s coming from the wrong places

FTFY

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

Likely D————->Tilt D

Our recruitment is much better this cycle, but it’s coming from the wrong places

I would wager it is lean D, Evelynn Sanlinguine does not even seem like that great of a candidate though.

[Young Conservative]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

Likely D————->Tilt D

Our recruitment is much better this cycle, but it’s coming from the wrong places

I would wager it is lean D, Evelynn Sanlinguine does not even seem like that great of a candidate though.

Why not exactly? Rauner won this district.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1120327456634728449

Lol

Likely D————->Tilt D

Our recruitment is much better this cycle, but it’s coming from the wrong places

I would wager it is lean D, Evelynn Sanlinguine does not even seem like that great of a candidate though.

Why not exactly? Rauner won this district.

Clearly Il 12th is a tossup.