Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: Wisconsin
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Wisconsin Democratic Primary?
#1
Joe Biden		  
#2
Pete Buttigieg		  
#3
Kamala Harris		  
#4
Bernie Sanders		  
#5
Elizabeth Warren		  
#6
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: Wisconsin  (Read 576 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: October 30, 2019, 09:35:41 AM »
« edited: October 30, 2019, 10:11:00 AM by Xing »




Biden
Sanders
Warren

Vote here in the previous polls if you haven't already!

February
IA NH NV SC

Super Tuesday
AL AS AR CA CO DA ME MA MN NC OK TN TX UT VT VA

March 10th
ID MI MS MO ND WA

Later March
NMI AZ FL IL OH GA PR

April
AK HI LA WY

Arizona, Illinois, and Michigan are all very close.

Special thanks to Hades for the map of the territories!

Assuming a Biden vs. Warren race, Wisconsin should be a good state for Warren. I imagine she'll hit it out of the park in Dane, do reasonably well in the Milwaukee area (though Biden might narrowly win Milwaukee itself), and better in rural Wisconsin than other rural parts of the country (though I'm not sure she'd get the sweep that Sanders got.)
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2019, 10:03:48 AM »
Tossup. Not buying that Warren is guaranteed to win here, and I’ll trust Marquette over any other WI poll.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2019, 10:24:40 AM »
Warren
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2019, 01:41:05 PM »
Warren. I don't buy the polls saying Biden is leading here.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2019, 02:03:55 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 30, 2019, 01:41:05 PM
Warren. I don't buy the polls saying Biden is leading here.

Out of curiosity, what do you think the county map might look like?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2019, 02:44:48 PM »
Quote from: Xing on October 30, 2019, 02:03:55 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 30, 2019, 01:41:05 PM
Warren. I don't buy the polls saying Biden is leading here.

Out of curiosity, what do you think the county map might look like?

No idea, since it's in April and the story will be pretty different from now by then. If it's a threeway race (Warren, Biden, and Sanders) Biden will do best in Milwaukee County, Warren will run it up in Dane (and will be her best county by far) and do well in WOW. The rest of the state is really up for grabs and unpredictable. Northwoods I feel would be more attainable for Biden but also where Sanders can do well (probably Warren's worst region), while the SW/Driftless I think would be inclined to more progressive candidates like Warren/Sanders. Fox River Valley is maybe a slight Warren win overall.
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SN2903
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2019, 04:32:29 PM »
Warren or Bernie
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2019, 06:54:56 PM »
This should be Warren-favorable territory.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2019, 01:36:54 PM »
I'm gonna kinda break with the prevailing wisdom in this thread and say Warren Smiley
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