Presidential Ratings and Predictions - North Carolina
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - North Carolina		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate North Carolina and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 140

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - North Carolina  (Read 3177 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: September 20, 2016, 02:12:06 AM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

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Ratings



Safe Clinton: 174
Likely Clinton: 20
Lean Clinton: 16
Toss-Up: 36
Lean Trump: 37
Likely Trump: 18
Safe Trump: 50

Clinton: 210
Trump: 105
Toss-Up: 36

Predictions



Clinton: 246
Trump: 105

North Carolina: Toss-Up, 50-48 Clinton.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 02:20:03 AM »
Tilt D
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Southern Delegate matthew27
matthew27
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2016, 02:26:11 AM »
Lean D and Clinton
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Doimper
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2016, 02:30:08 AM »
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2016, 02:31:03 AM »
This looks to be one of the most competitive states in the election, especially since the gubernatorial race and Senate race are also competitive. I'd be surprised if either candidate won by more than 4-5%, since it's also quite inelastic.

Toss-Up, Hillary wins 49-48.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2016, 02:32:45 AM »
Tossup, but I'm open to changing it to Tilt D after a positive Clinton debate or the like. She probably wins in the end.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2016, 02:36:17 AM »
« Edited: September 20, 2016, 02:45:12 AM by Interlocutor »
Will certainly be a nailbiter here, but I see Hillary and the Dems pulling it out for the big three races. It'll be the closest state this election

Clinton: 49.5%
Trump: 49%
Other: 1.5%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2016, 04:49:07 AM »
Tossup.

Clinton: 49%
Trump: 47%
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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2016, 05:56:39 AM »
Lean D
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2016, 06:04:57 AM »
True tossup. Clinton's ground game plus backlash against HB2 will get her over the line by 1%
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Tiger front
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2016, 08:04:55 AM »
Toss-up.
Clinton 49%
Trump 48%
Other 3%
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2016, 08:24:01 AM »
Trump: 48
Clinton: 47
3rd Party: 5

Basically a toss up, maybe slight R.
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mencken
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2016, 08:34:08 AM »
Trump wins by much closer than it should be.
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tinman64
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 11:03:44 AM »
Tossup.

Clinton 49
Trump 48
Others 3
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Buzz
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« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2016, 11:12:41 AM »
Trump will win by 2-3
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2016, 11:15:39 AM »
Toss-Up
Clinton 49-47-4
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #16 on: September 20, 2016, 11:42:12 AM »
Toss up, Clinton by less than 2 over Trump. No one gets 50%
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DavidB.
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2016, 11:54:45 AM »
Toss-up, Trump.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2016, 03:54:39 PM »
Lean D. This is a textbook state where a massive ground game advantage can bring you over the top. This state was going to be competitive regardless of Trump as well. PPP's poll tomorrow won't change my mind on that.

Clinton 50
Trump 47
Others 3
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2016, 03:56:45 PM »
Tossup,

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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #20 on: September 20, 2016, 04:04:48 PM »
Quote from: mencken on September 20, 2016, 08:34:08 AM
Trump wins by much closer than it should be.

This.

I think Trump is REALLY in the lead right now, but I think the GOP will have to fight harder than it ought to in order to win in NC.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #21 on: September 20, 2016, 04:22:59 PM »
The tossiest upiest state of the union right now, gun to my head I think Clinton wins this and loses Ohio.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #22 on: September 20, 2016, 04:24:07 PM »
Definitely Lean D as of right now. She probably wins by 4-5.
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AGA
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« Reply #23 on: September 20, 2016, 04:59:25 PM »
Tossup

Clinton: 49%
Trump: 48%
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #24 on: September 20, 2016, 06:15:09 PM »
Tossup, nearly Lean D.

Clinton: 49%
Trump: 46%
Johnson: 5%
Other: 0% (ballot access laws)
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