Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: Connecticut
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  Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: Connecticut
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Connecticut Democratic Primary?
#1
Joe Biden
 
#2
Pete Buttigieg
 
#3
Kamala Harris
 
#4
Bernie Sanders
 
#5
Elizabeth Warren
 
#6
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 69

Author Topic: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: Connecticut  (Read 945 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: October 31, 2019, 10:39:57 AM »





Biden
Sanders
Warren

Vote here in the previous polls if you haven't already!

February
IA NH NV SC

Super Tuesday
AL AS AR CA CO DA ME MA MN NC OK TN TX UT VT VA

March 10th
ID MI MS MO ND WA

Later March
NMI AZ FL IL OH GA PR

April
AK HI LA WY WI

Arizona, Illinois, and Michigan are all very close.

Special thanks to Hades for the map of the territories!

Of the states Clinton won in 2016, Connecticut is probably one of the more likely ones to go to Warren. Not simply because it's close to Massachusetts, but because it's fairly urban/suburban and well-educated, and thus my rating would be Lean Warren (in a Biden/Warren race.)
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2019, 10:42:48 AM »
« Edited: October 31, 2019, 10:47:35 AM by UWS »

If 78 % of respondents said that Biden will win Puerto Rico, I think you forgot to color Puerto Rico in blue.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340754.0
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2019, 10:45:17 AM »

If 78 % of respondents said that Biden will win Puerto Rico, I think you forgot to color Puerto Rico in blue.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340754.0

I'm not able to color in the photo of the territories, so that's going to be on hold for a little bit.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2019, 10:46:59 AM »

If 78 % of respondents said that Biden will win Puerto Rico, I think you forgot to color Puerto Rico in blue.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340754.0

I'm not able to color in the photo of the territories, so that's going to be on hold for a little bit.

And also, Biden took the lead by one vote in Illinois.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340315.0
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2019, 10:50:12 AM »

If 78 % of respondents said that Biden will win Puerto Rico, I think you forgot to color Puerto Rico in blue.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340754.0

I'm not able to color in the photo of the territories, so that's going to be on hold for a little bit.

And also, Biden took the lead by one vote in Illinois.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=340315.0

If he's still ahead tomorrow morning, I'll update the map then. I've decided that it makes more sense to update the winner/margins once a day, rather than trying to keep up with all of them throughout the day.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2019, 07:23:38 PM »

Warren? This will probably be the most competitive New England state, so I'm not completely confident in categorizing it as a Warren victory.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2019, 07:25:04 PM »

Warren, but her weakest New England state.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2019, 07:30:32 PM »

Biden.  It has a good mix of moderate/upper income white democrats that don't want to be taxed and high minority population.
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UWS
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2019, 07:34:11 PM »

Biden.  It has a good mix of moderate/upper income white democrats that don't want to be taxed and high minority population.

Yep and also Connecticut’s coast is in proximity with New York City that is likely to be Biden’s strongest area in the New York primary.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2019, 08:04:40 PM »

Biden does well in CT
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2019, 09:14:31 PM »

Biden.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2019, 09:19:26 PM »

Warren, but her weakest New England state.

Vermont?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2019, 11:13:34 AM »


Well yeah, if Bernie wasn't in. You know what I mean Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2019, 11:20:17 AM »

Biden.  It has a good mix of moderate/upper income white democrats that don't want to be taxed and high minority population.

Interesting, because most polls show that her best demographic is well to do college educated voters.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2019, 12:41:40 AM »

Warren or Pete
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