Just thought I would share my current undertaking with regard to the site (in addition to adding the primary results listed below). I am in the process of compiling, from official county canvasses, the complete precinct-level Presidential Election results for New York for the last three general elections (1992, 1996, and 2000). I would like to have the most comprehensive and accurate county, city/town, and precinct-level results for the state of New York on the web (BTW, New York is my original home state, having grown up in Onondaga County). I have a stack of paper here a foot tall and have completed 45 counties, adding 1992 city/town maps today for Saratoga, Alabany, Chautauqua, Columbia, Oneida, Orange, Rensselaer, Schoharie, Schuyler, and Tioga. I’ll add the city/town and precinct data for these counties in a few days (I’ll add a few more counties before performing the data upload). There are still several large urban counties to go (including Suffolk, Nassau, Westchester, Rockland, Monroe, Erie, and the five boroughs of New York City).

In particular, the 1992 township map is very interesting… a partial map is available to members by clicking on the “Town” button on the 1992 New York page. The 1996 and 2000 city/town maps are already complete. I have also discovered several mistakes in the statewide Canvasses published by the New York State Board of Elections. I will be making corrections to the data and adding notes to signify the changes.

The Wisconsin Primary turned out to be more competitive than expected. In my opinion, a real problem with the 2004 Democratic Primary schedule has been the crowded nature of the contests. The schedule gives little time for the candidates to campaign in each state and little time for the voters to size-up those seeking the Democratic nomination. In Wisconsin, a single primary contested by multiple candidates resulted in a much closer result. Kerry “wins” the contest with 39.7% of the vote, followed by Edwards at 34.3% and Dean at 18.3%. The county map shown here is color-coded with red for Kerry and green for Edwards – with the various shades showing percenage of the vote in decades (>30%, >40%, etc.) Note that even though Kerry “wins”, he shares the delegates with the top three candidates (those that receive more than 15% in any of the congressional districts and state-wide at large). The current result predicts 30 delegates for Kerry to 24 for Edwards and 13 for Dean. Edwards won in two of the eight congressional districts (the first and fifth) and Kerry wins the remainder.

From a regional point-of-view, Kerry was the strongest in the north-west of the state and his best county was Menominee (62.7% – it is also the home of the Menominee Native American Tribe). Edwards had a better showing in the counties to the north and west of Milwaukee. His best county was Waukesha with 42% of the vote. Dean did not win a single county – likely a decidely disappointing result – and received the greatest percentage of votes in Douglas and Portage Counties (about 25%).

I have finally compiled and uploaded the county and congressional district results for the 2004 Iowa Caucus. Kerry is purple, Edwards is red, and Dean is green (with shades of each color representing the strength of the popular-vote win (in decades). The results are from the percentage listings at the Des Moines Register (It looks like the CNN data at the county level are wrong). Kerry and Edwards split the counties almost evenly with Kerry winning in three of the five congressional districts. Dean wins two counties – including Jefferson, the home of the University of Management (formerly Maharishi International University). This is the home county of John Hagelin of the Natural Law party, where he received 16% in 2000. There are several ties, noted by the striped shading – including a three-way tie between Dean, Edwards, and Kerry in Fremont County (located in the lower-left corner).

The (almost complete) results of the Iowa Caucus are available in the 2004 Primary pull-down option of the Election Results section. The county-level map is not yet finished (I’m having difficulty finding complete and accurate results – the Iowa Secretary of State does not run the event – If you have a site suggestion, please leave a comment.)

The race dynamics shown in the pre-caucus polls proved accurate in the rising support for the campaigns of John Kerry and John Edwards. It appears that the negative campaigning took its toll.

Also, any visitors that attended the Iowa Caucus and would like to share their experience, please let me know. I’d like to highlight the event (in a weblog entry) from the perspective of a participant.

The District of Columbia held its presidential “primary” yesterday. However, the event was nothing more than a political “beauty contest”, and not a very comprehensive one at that. Only four of the leading nine candidates were on the ballot (Howard Dean Dennis Kucinich, Carol Moseley Braun, and Al Sharpton). The remaining candidates did not participate (pressure was applied from the national Democratic party because the DC primary date violates party rules). No delegates were awarded from the results of the primary.

The preliminary results of the DC primary (from the District of Columbia Board of Elections and Ethics) show a very-low turnout of 16.3% (42,318 cast ballots out of 259,322 registered Democrats). Howard Dean captured the most votes, 17,584 (42.8%) followed by Al Sharpton with 14,090 (34.3%), Carol Moseley-Braun with 4,776 (11.6%), Dennis Kucinich with 3,408 (8.3%), and perennial presidential candidate Lyndon LaRouche Jr. with 498 (1.2%). Other candidates garnered about 1.8%.

The preliminary (100% precincts reporting) results of the Louisiana Gubernatorial run-off election have been posted in the Gubernatorial section of the website. The results differ relative to many recent polls; Blanco wins with a margin of slightly less than 4 percentage points: 52% to 48%. The results by Parish show signficant geographic support for Blanco, winning 53 Parishes to Jindal’s 12.

The preliminary (99% precincts reporting) data from the Mississippi Gubernatorial election is in. You can find the county map and data in the Gubernatorial section of the web site. The results show a modest win for Haley Barbour (R) over incumbent Ronnie Musgrove (D) by a margin of 7.3 percentage points (52.9% to 45.6%). The three minor party candidates received a combined total of 1.6%.

The preliminary (100% precincts reporting) data from the Kentucky Gubernatorial election is in. You can find the county map and data in the Gubernatorial section of the web site. It is a solid win for Fletcher (R) who leads in the unofficial tally 55% – 45% over democrat A. B. Chandler. I have not yet found preliminary county-level results for Mississippi.

Well, the California Recall is over. Preliminary results are in and it appears to be a solid victory for the recall and for Schwarzenegger. The top republican challenger received 47.8% of the overall vote and carried 50 of California’s 58 counties – including the populous counties of Los Angeles, San Diego, Orange, Riverside, and Sacramento. Interestingly, Schwarzenegger actually received slightly more votes than “no” votes on the recall (subject to change as more votes are tallied). Schwarzenegger’s best showing was in Sutter County (64.5%)

Bustamante’s support was limited to the San Francisco Bay area (although he lost Contra Costa County by a slight 0.44%). Bustamante’s best showing was in San Francisco (63.4%).

McClintock placed a solid third with 13.2% (he placed second in eight counties and fourth in one). His best showing was Stanislaus County with 23.9%. It appears that many of the more conservative counties opted for the more socially liberal Schwarzenegger over the more conservative McClintock.

Camejo placed fourth with 2.8% – barely half of his showing in 2002. His best county was Humboldt with 7.2%.

Overall, three counties were won with < 40% of the vote – Bustamante in Mendocino , Schwarzenegger in Contra Costa and Napa.

Note that it will take many days for all the ballots to be counted. A final tally will be posted on the site following the certification of the vote by the California Secretary of State.