Category Archives: Election 2012

Wilson County, KS Votes are Double-Counted in 2012

Kansas County Map Highlighting Wilson CountyThe 2012 General Election official Vote Totals as reported by the Kansas Secretary of State Elections & Legislative division includes results from Wilson County that are double-counted.  Wilson County has a relatively small population of 9,409 as enumerated by the U.S. Census Bureau in 2010 (estimated population of July 2012 is 9,105) and is located east of Wichita and south of Topeka as shown in the map at right.  The table below shows the officially reported results for President in Wilson County:

Official Reported
Presidential Candidate Vice Presidential Candidate Political Party Popular Vote
Willard Mitt Romney Paul Ryan Republican 5,650 76.00%
Barack H. Obama Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Democratic 1,636 22.01%
Gary Johnson James P. Gray Libertarian 94 1.26%
Chuck Baldwin Joseph Martin Reform 54 0.73%

The sum of the votes cast for President as reported is 7,434. However, the Kansas 2012 General Election Official Turnout Report shows only 3,752 ballots cast and 5,845 registered voters in Wilson County.  Furthermore, the total counted votes for President in 2008 was 4,121.  Upon inspection of the 2012 Kansas General Election Results by Precinct, it becomes clear that the votes for each candidate are counted twice.  The Atlas database has been updated to reflect the correct data.

Enhanced County Township Maps

The Atlas is in the process of upgrading the county township maps in the members section. Going beyond the previous flat vote result map, the new maps are enhanced and greatly expanded, including an image-map to highlight the name of the city/town and the summary result in a pop-up window, include mouse-over maps/links for party, swing, trend, and the previous vote result. In addition, the maps are also larger. Currently, these new maps and features are available for President in 2012 and 2008 in New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, Rhode Island, as well as brand new maps for New Jersey. I’m currently in the process of creating the Maine maps – an endeavor that is taking quite some effort due to the large mismatch between the available census maps and the township entities that are included in the Maine official results. Future expansion of this feature is planned to include more states, more offices, and more elections further back in time.

County Township Map Example

Ron Paul Wins (Concord Unincorporated Township)

Somerset 2012 Presidential Results by Town

Somerset County, ME 2012 Presidential Election Results

Hidden in the 2012 Presidential Election data is a small unincorporated township in Maine that was won by Ron Paul. There were a total of three votes cast – all three were write-in votes for Ron Paul – both Obama and Romney came up empty. The 2012 general election is the first time that the Maine Secretary of State Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions has published presidential election results for Concord Twp. Although not actively running for President in the 2012 General Election, Ron Paul was certified as a declared write-in candidate for President in Maine, allowing his write-in votes to be counted (see 2012 Maine Declared Write-in Candidates).

The image to the right shows the full results by township for Somerset County, ME in the 2012 General Election for President.  Concord Twp is located in Somerset County on the west side of the Kennebec River to the north of Embden Town (colored in dark yellow on the map).   Concord Twp is included with Lexington Twp to form the census “Central Somerset UT”.

In spite of the plethora of low population towns in New England, wins by “third party” candidates are quite rare.  Not since Ross Perot in 1996, has a third party won in any New England town (Perot won three and tied in a fourth in 1996.  Perot won a substantial number of towns in 1992).  Nader tied Al Gore in 2000 in Pinkham’s Grant, NH 3-3.

Updated 2012 Election Data

The 2012 General Election data have been updated today to reflect the final official town and county totals in Massachusetts. In addition, several states have published amended results – including New York and New Jersey. I have also added several corrections as discovered during compilation of individual county reports.

Data files available on the store page are also updated with these latest results.

With the addition of official MA county/town data, this brings to a close the official data compilation for the 2012 General Election. Further updates will consist of corrections or write-in votes discovered during precinct compilation.

The New Atlas Activity Stream

A new feature on the Atlas is a microblogging style activity stream. This page shows the latest updates in the 2012 General Election features – including new election poll entries, new and updated election predictions, new and updated endorsements, and votes and endorsements for President in the mock election. See the latest forum community activity.

2012 Republican Primary Data Update

The 2012 Republican Primary county and state-level data have been updated to final/official results (Utah, the last state to hold its nominating contest just certified its results last week). Some congressional district data and a number of maps are still in-process.

Official Texas Republican Primary Tally Shorts Romney 100,000 Votes

I have discovered that the Texas Secretary of State official election results from the 2012 Republican Primary have shorted Romney by an even 100,000 votes. This occurs in Harris County where the tally shows Romney with 11,380 votes. The official results posted on the Harris County Clerk’s web page show an official total of 111,380. A small typo shifted the results by a whopping 100,000 votes. While in this case, the election was no longer contested and even this large number of votes did not change the result, it does show how simple errors can cause very large numbers of votes to be miscounted.  I have contacted the Texas Secretary of State about this discrepancy.

Preliminary 2012 Republican Primary Data

The preliminary data file for the 2012 Republican Primary contests has been posted to the store page. Many contests have certified official data, but data from several states are currently unofficial. Data by congressional district is available for a few states – note that redistricting has slowed this process. Several states tabulated results by congressional district, but did so for the old 2002-2010 boundaries – these data are not included as they are irrelevant to the delegate allocation. Compilation continues and the file will be updated periodically. All updates of purchased files may be downloaded for free.