The Atlas 2012 Mock Presidential Election and endorsement is now available. Cast your ballot for any of the 26 candidates that have ballot access in at least one state, choose “None of these Candidates”, or write-in your own candidate. The map compiles the results from Atlas members by state.
Atlas 2012 Endorsements Now Open
The 2012 General Election endorsement feature for Governor and U.S. Senate are now open. The Gubernatorial Endorsements may be found here and the Senatorial Endorsements may be found here.
2012 Republican Primary Data Update
The 2012 Republican Primary county and state-level data have been updated to final/official results (Utah, the last state to hold its nominating contest just certified its results last week). Some congressional district data and a number of maps are still in-process.
Official Texas Republican Primary Tally Shorts Romney 100,000 Votes
I have discovered that the Texas Secretary of State official election results from the 2012 Republican Primary have shorted Romney by an even 100,000 votes. This occurs in Harris County where the tally shows Romney with 11,380 votes. The official results posted on the Harris County Clerk’s web page show an official total of 111,380. A small typo shifted the results by a whopping 100,000 votes. While in this case, the election was no longer contested and even this large number of votes did not change the result, it does show how simple errors can cause very large numbers of votes to be miscounted. I have contacted the Texas Secretary of State about this discrepancy.
Preliminary 2012 Republican Primary Data
The preliminary data file for the 2012 Republican Primary contests has been posted to the store page. Many contests have certified official data, but data from several states are currently unofficial. Data by congressional district is available for a few states – note that redistricting has slowed this process. Several states tabulated results by congressional district, but did so for the old 2002-2010 boundaries – these data are not included as they are irrelevant to the delegate allocation. Compilation continues and the file will be updated periodically. All updates of purchased files may be downloaded for free.
New Predictions Available for 2012 Governor and U.S. Senate
The 2012 user-interactive prediction pages for Governor and for U.S. Senate are now available. See all the predictions on the Prediction Summary Page or all the 2012 features on the 2012 Summary Page
2012 Presidential Predictions
The 2012 Presidential Predictions for the General Election are now available. Get a jump on the 2012 election season with some presidential prognostications and enjoy.
2010 Election Data Official
The 2010 Election Data has been updated – all states are now official. The last state to make public its detailed data is Massachusetts – where the official data by county is published in a the paper book called “Public Document #43 Massachusetts Election Statistics” – the document has just been released.
West Virginia 2011 Special Gubernatorial Election Added
The 2010 special gubernatorial election in West Virginia has been added to the atlas polls and predictions scripts. Note that this election is not held on November 8th, like the general elections in Kentucky and Mississippi, rather it occurs on October 4th. The prediction for West Virginia will close earlier than election day (October 4), similar to Louisiana, where the prediction will close on the open primary day of October 22.
Electoral College Calculator for 2012
The Electoral College Calculator has been updated for 2012 – incorporating the just-released apportionment figures from the U.S. Census Bureau. The new Electoral Vote figures for each state reflect the changes in population growth across the country as measured in the 2010 Census and are the basis for the 2012 Presidential Election contest.