PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Republican Primary Polls ResultsPolls
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State Polls Aggregate
Compilation: Below is a compiled map of the leading candidate in each state for the 2016 Republican Primary Election. Data is compiled from the average of the three most recent polls. A slight win requires that the same candidate wins all three.

2016 Presidential Polls Map - Republican Primarykey

States
26 |
52 |
Kasich
 
pie
Bush
 
Rubio
 
Cruz
 
Trump36 
 
Carson
 
Walker
 
Tossup10 
 
No Data4 
 

Delegates
1237 |
2472 |
Kasich63 
 
pie
Bush17 
 
Rubio106 
 
Cruz304 
 
Trump1328 
 
Carson26 
 
Walker
 
Tossup169 
 
No Data520 
 

Polls Aggregate History

States
polls_graph

Delegates
polls_graph

Most Recent State Polls

State Date Poll Source Lead KB R C T C W Oth Und MOE Sample #C
WV 05-01 Public Policy PollingT+3914%0%0%22%61%0%0%0%3%4% 549 L 31
CA 04-30 Survey USAT+3416%0%0%20%54%0%0%0%10%4% 529 L 38
IN 04-29 Gravis MarketingT+179%0%0%27%44%0%0%1%19%5% 379 L
IN 04-28 Marist CollegeT+1513%0%0%34%49%0%0%0%4%4% 645 L 70
IN 04-28 ARGT+921%0%0%32%41%0%0%0%6%5% 400 L 26
CT 04-28 Quinnipiac UniversityT+2028%0%0%19%48%0%0%0%5%3% 823 L 29
OR 04-27 Other SourceT+1717%0%0%26%43%0%0%0%14%4% 555 L 15
IN 04-27 OnPoint PollingC+1613%0%0%45%29%0%0%0%13%5% 400 L 40
IN 04-27 Other SourceT+216%0%0%35%37%0%0%1%11%5% 423 L 21
RI 04-24 Gravis MarketingT+3721%0%0%10%58%0%0%0%11%4% 566 L 16
RI 04-24 Public Policy PollingT+3823%0%0%13%61%0%0%1%2%4% 511 L 50
PA 04-24 Public Policy PollingT+2622%0%0%25%51%0%0%0%3%3% 826 L 50
PA 04-24 ARGT+2721%0%0%23%50%0%0%0%6%5% 400 L 27
MD 04-24 ARGT+3421%0%0%19%55%0%0%0%5%5% 400 L 27
CT 04-24 Gravis MarketingT+2727%0%0%9%54%0%0%0%10%3% 964 L 16
CT 04-24 Public Policy PollingT+3425%0%0%13%59%0%0%0%3%4% 512 L 50
PA 04-22 YouGovT+2322%0%0%26%49%0%0%0%3%5% 934 L 18
IN 04-22 YouGovT+520%0%0%35%40%0%0%0%5%7% 548 L 18
RI 04-21 Brown UniversityT+1325%0%0%14%38%0%0%0%23%7% 164 L 20
IN 04-21 Other SourceT+622%0%0%31%37%0%0%0%10%4% 500 L
IN 04-21 Fox NewsT+816%0%0%33%41%0%0%3%7%4% 602 L 33
CA 04-21 Fox NewsT+2720%0%0%22%49%0%0%2%7%4% 583 L 25
PA 04-20 Marist CollegeT+1824%0%0%27%45%0%0%1%3%4% 571 L 17
PA 04-18 Franklin and Marshall CollegeT+1026%0%0%24%36%0%0%0%14%4% 549 L
DE 04-18 Gravis MarketingT+3718%0%0%15%55%0%0%0%13%3% 1,038 L 24
NY 04-17 Emerson CollegeT+3421%0%0%18%55%0%0%2%4%5% 361 L 13
MD 04-17 Public Policy PollingT+1429%0%0%24%43%0%0%0%5%6% 310 L 24
NY 04-14 Other SourceT+2524%0%0%14%49%0%0%0%13%2% 14,201 L
MD 04-12 Monmouth UniversityT+2027%0%0%19%47%0%0%0%7%6% 301 L 5
NY 04-11 Siena Research InstituteT+2327%0%0%17%50%0%0%0%6%5% 469 L 0
NY 04-11 Quinnipiac UniversityT+3520%0%0%19%55%0%0%0%6%4% 550 L 16
CT 04-11 Emerson CollegeT+2426%0%0%17%50%0%0%0%7%5% 354 L 32
NY 04-10 Public Policy PollingT+2625%0%0%20%51%0%0%0%4%5% 483 L 13
NY 04-10 Marist CollegeT+3321%0%0%18%54%0%0%2%5%6% 259 L 17
MD 04-10 Other SourceT+725%0%0%26%33%0%0%0%16%4% 600 L
MD 04-09 Marist CollegeT+1224%0%0%29%41%0%0%0%6%5% 368 L 52
NJ 04-08 Eagleton-RutgersT+2824%0%0%18%52%0%0%4%2%7% 244 L 9
PA 04-07 Fox NewsT+2522%0%0%20%47%0%0%1%10%4% 802 L 25
NY 04-07 Fox NewsT+3222%0%0%15%54%0%0%1%8%4% 602 L 29
PA 04-06 Muhlenberg CollegeT+727%0%0%28%35%0%0%5%5%6% 360 L 10
NY 04-06 Gravis MarketingT+3224%0%0%20%56%0%0%0%0%3% 857 L
NY 04-05 Monmouth UniversityT+2725%0%0%17%52%0%0%0%6%6% 302 L 9
PA 04-04 Quinnipiac UniversityT+924%0%0%30%39%0%0%0%7%4% 578 L 17
CA 04-04 Field Research CorporationT+718%0%0%32%39%0%0%0%11%4% 558 L 21
WI 04-03 Emerson CollegeC+521%0%0%40%35%0%0%0%4%4% 549 L 26
WI 04-03 ARGT+1023%0%0%32%42%0%0%0%3%5% 400 L 45
MD 04-03 Washington PostT+1031%0%0%22%41%0%0%0%6%8% 283 L 25
CA 04-03 Survey USAT+817%0%0%32%40%0%0%0%12%4% 356 L 30
NY 04-01 YouGovT+3120%0%0%21%52%0%0%0%7%4% 600 L
WI 03-30 Fox NewsC+1019%0%0%42%32%0%0%1%6%4% 742 L 31

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